GBPUSD Analysis 10:37am 4/28. Happy Monday!

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GBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Day Trading Perspective
I’m looking at GBP/USD on the hourly timeframe, where price is now sitting at 1.339, confirming strong bullish momentum after breaking past key resistance. Here's how I'm approaching today's trading plan:

Market Structure & Key Levels
Resistance at 1.33850-1.34000 – Price is testing this level, and volume confirmation will determine whether we continue upward.

Support at 1.33650-1.33700 – If we see a pullback, this zone could act as a strong bounce area.

Institutional Interest at 1.33250-1.33300 – A liquidity zone where major players may absorb sell-side pressure.

Momentum & Trend Strength
RSI (1-hour): 88.88 → Overbought, meaning we might see consolidation or a retrace before another leg up.

CCI (1-hour): 81.81 → Still bullish, but exhaustion signs are creeping in.

Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 83.32 → Buyers are still in control, but reversals become more likely at extreme readings.

Directional Strength & Trend Confirmation
ADX (1-hour): 13.38 → Weak trend strength, suggesting that price could start ranging.

DX (1-hour): 79.92 → A strong push confirms market participation.

Day Trading Plan
Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation
Since price has cleared 1.33650, the breakout play is already in motion. Here’s how I’m managing the setup:

Entry: Holding long as price remains above 1.33850, with strong buying pressure.

Target 1: 1.34000, a psychological barrier where liquidity may sit.

Target 2: 1.34250, next significant resistance.

Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal
If price retraces, I’ll look for signs of institutional absorption before considering re-entry.

Entry: If price dips below 1.33650 but quickly reclaims 1.33800, I’ll look for confirmation of a reversal.

Target 1: 1.33950, previous high.

Target 2: 1.34200, extended move.

Order Flow & Volume Profile Considerations
Institutional Absorption: If price briefly drops below 1.33800 but quickly reclaims it, institutions could be absorbing liquidity.

Liquidity Trap: A sharp sell-off into 1.33650 could trigger stop losses before a potential bounce.

Volume Confirmation: If buyers remain strong at 1.33850, the move toward 1.34000-1.34250 is more likely.

Risk Management & Execution Strategy
I’ll monitor candle closures above 1.33850 before committing to further upside targets.

If volume increases, I’ll hold for 1.34000; if it slows down, I’ll consider partial profit-taking.

Watching institutional behavior near 1.33650 will be key for catching potential liquidity grabs.

Right now, GBP/USD is at a critical decision point—either continuation toward 1.34000, or a pullback to absorb liquidity before the next push. The key is watching volume flow and price absorption for confirmation before executing further moves.

Disclaimer

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