Bullish Breakout Scenario (Reversal):
Alternative Idea: Instead of reversing at the strong selling zone, GBP/USD could break above the resistance level at 1.2940 and continue upward.
Trigger: If strong bullish momentum emerges (e.g., fueled by positive UK economic news or weak US dollar sentiment), this could invalidate the bearish setup and turn the trend bullish.
Next Target: A breakout might push the price toward 1.3000 or higher, targeting previous swing highs.
2. Range-Bound Movement:
Alternative Setup: GBP/USD may fail to show any clear breakout and instead consolidate within a tight range between 1.2880 and 1.2940.
Trigger: Lack of volume or mixed economic data could lead to sideways movement, trapping traders expecting immediate directional momentum.
3. Bullish Divergence Possibility:
Technical Suggestion: Check for a potential bullish divergence on momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, where price is making lower lows, but the indicator shows higher lows.
Implication: This could signal weakening bearish pressure, increasing the chances of a reversal.
4. Fundamental Risk:
Macroeconomic Impact: The chart analysis could be disrupted by upcoming events like central bank decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments that may favor either currency
Alternative Idea: Instead of reversing at the strong selling zone, GBP/USD could break above the resistance level at 1.2940 and continue upward.
Trigger: If strong bullish momentum emerges (e.g., fueled by positive UK economic news or weak US dollar sentiment), this could invalidate the bearish setup and turn the trend bullish.
Next Target: A breakout might push the price toward 1.3000 or higher, targeting previous swing highs.
2. Range-Bound Movement:
Alternative Setup: GBP/USD may fail to show any clear breakout and instead consolidate within a tight range between 1.2880 and 1.2940.
Trigger: Lack of volume or mixed economic data could lead to sideways movement, trapping traders expecting immediate directional momentum.
3. Bullish Divergence Possibility:
Technical Suggestion: Check for a potential bullish divergence on momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, where price is making lower lows, but the indicator shows higher lows.
Implication: This could signal weakening bearish pressure, increasing the chances of a reversal.
4. Fundamental Risk:
Macroeconomic Impact: The chart analysis could be disrupted by upcoming events like central bank decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments that may favor either currency
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.