My expected analysis for the week is that price will slow down at market open and potentially sell off from the 16-hour supply zone. Once price enters this zone, I will wait for an Asia high sweep and look for distribution on the lower time frames.
If price breaks through this supply zone, there is an 18-hour supply zone where price might react. However, since this is a counter-trend trade idea, I expect price to retrace from this bias, allowing me to eventually buy from either the 4-hour supply zone or the 18-hour supply zone.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price has been very bullish, so a retracement is needed to sustain the upward movement.
- The recent price action has been very parabolic, leading to unhealthy price behavior.
- There are imbalances and liquidity below that need to be filled.
- The 16-hour supply zone presents a potential opportunity for short trades.
P.S. If price doesn't tap into the supply zone, I'll wait for it to come down to a demand zone before looking for buys to rejoin the trend.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.