There are two possible cases here, 1. The green line which can be a long trade with stoploss below the blue box. 2. The red line which can a short trade, however I would wait for a retest if this plays out.
I am leaning more towards the short because in highe time frame this pair is bearish, we have a down trend holding 50-200EMA band as resistance. https://www.tradingview.com/x/9b7LaR5Q/
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