GBP/USD H1 Analysis – Fibonacci Exhaustion + Bearish Divergence

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Pair: GBP/USD
Timeframe: 1-Hour
Technical Tools Used:
• Price Action & Structure
• Fibonacci Extension
• Awesome Oscillator (AO)



📌 Key Technical Highlights:

✅ Price reached 4.236 Fibonacci Exhaustion Level
✅ Clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside
✅ Bearish Divergence spotted on AO
✅ Bearish Targets identified using Fibonacci Extension



🔍 Market Overview:

GBP/USD recently completed a strong bullish impulse and tapped into the 4.236 Fibonacci exhaustion zone around 1.34686, a level often associated with trend exhaustion.

Following this, a Break of Structure (BOS) was confirmed, signaling potential weakening of bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal.



📉 Bearish Confluence – AO Divergence:

The Awesome Oscillator (AO) confirms bearish divergence:
• Price made a higher high.
• AO made a lower high.

This suggests that bullish momentum is fading despite higher price levels — a classic early warning of potential reversal.



🎯 Fibonacci Extension Take-Profit Zones:

Using the latest swing leg and BOS as the reference, the Fibonacci extension tool reveals several high-probability take-profit zones:
• ✅ TP1: 1.618 Extension @ 1.33770
• ✅ TP2: 2.618 & 2.786 Extensions @ 1.33204 – 1.33051
• 🧊 Extreme Targets: 4.236+ Extensions near 1.32288 and below, if strong bearish momentum continues.



💡 Trading Plan:

This setup offers a clean bearish opportunity based on:
• Completion of an extended bullish leg
• Break of market structure
• Momentum divergence via AO
• Strong Fibonacci confluence

Bias: Bearish
Trigger: Wait for pullback or retest followed by bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection candle or engulfing pattern).
Risk: As always, use clear stop-loss above recent high and manage risk appropriately.



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