GBP/USD Long - Swing Trade Idea Targeting 1.3440

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GBP/USD Long - Swing Trade Idea Targeting 1.3440

GBP/USD Long
Entry - 1.3240 - 1.3300
Stop Loss - 1.3195
Target - 1.3440

Q1 GDP +0.7 % q/q & +5.9 % cap-ex jump signal UK has exited the “technical recession.” • Dollar momentum stalling after soft US CPI; PPI & U-Mich could reinforce pull-back while Trump keeps jaw-boning for cuts.

Rate-spread turning GBP-positive as BoE stresses higher-for-longer, wage/service inflation sticky.

Technical: daily close back above 20-day EMA (1.3255) and RSI > 55 show fresh bullish impulse; seasonal tail-wind (GBP tends to firm late-May)

The stronger-than-forecast UK GDP figures support, rather than undermine, the long-GBP/USD view:

They confirm the UK’s growth rebound narrative, cushioning sterling ahead of Friday’s US PPI and Michigan sentiment prints.

Industrial softness is a known drag but not material enough to offset services-led momentum or today’s positive quarterly investment surprise.


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