GBP/USD Trading Plan – May 20th | Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum Fades
🌐 Macro Overview
GBP/USD is currently influenced by several macroeconomic forces:
USD strength is returning, supported by stable US data (Retail Sales, Jobless Claims), leading the market to delay expectations of a Fed rate cut.
The British Pound is under pressure as the Bank of England (BoE) is not expected to raise rates further amid slowing domestic growth and easing inflation.
Simultaneously, US-China trade tensions and US debt concerns are keeping market sentiment cautious. The pair is forming a bullish flag structure, but signs of exhaustion are emerging.
📉 Technical Analysis (2H Chart)
GBP/USD is moving within a rising channel. However:
1.3433 remains a strong resistance, aligning with a local top — breakout potential is limited in the short term.
A rising wedge pattern is forming — watch for a potential trap followed by a sharp sell-off.
EMA13 and EMA34 are diverging, signaling distribution and potential reversal ahead.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Major Resistance:
🔺 1.3433 – recent swing high and potential double top
🔺 1.3355 – mid-range resistance and EMA34 convergence (H2)
Key Support:
🔻 1.3303 – key FIBO + trendline intersection
🔻 1.3251 – medium-term bullish structure support
🔻 1.3174 – previous swing low and strategic BUY ZONE
🎯 Trading Scenarios
📍 Scenario A – False Break and Rejection from Resistance
Entry (SELL): 1.3430 – 1.3433 (after bearish confirmation)
Stop Loss: 1.3460
Take Profits: 1.3355 → 1.3303 → 1.3250
📍 Scenario B – Breakdown and Failed Retest
Entry (SELL): 1.3303 – 1.3310 (after support break and retest)
Stop Loss: 1.3340
Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3174
📍 Scenario C – Deep Buy from Strong Support
Entry (BUY): 1.3170 – 1.3174
Stop Loss: 1.3140
Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3300
⚠️ Key Reminders:
Stay cautious ahead of key US releases this week (PMI, FOMC Minutes), which may trigger high volatility.
Avoid FOMO and respect SL/TP discipline — especially near potential trap zones.
📌 Follow for intraday updates and real-time trade setups as the structure evolves. Flexibility is key in this market.
🌐 Macro Overview
GBP/USD is currently influenced by several macroeconomic forces:
USD strength is returning, supported by stable US data (Retail Sales, Jobless Claims), leading the market to delay expectations of a Fed rate cut.
The British Pound is under pressure as the Bank of England (BoE) is not expected to raise rates further amid slowing domestic growth and easing inflation.
Simultaneously, US-China trade tensions and US debt concerns are keeping market sentiment cautious. The pair is forming a bullish flag structure, but signs of exhaustion are emerging.
📉 Technical Analysis (2H Chart)
GBP/USD is moving within a rising channel. However:
1.3433 remains a strong resistance, aligning with a local top — breakout potential is limited in the short term.
A rising wedge pattern is forming — watch for a potential trap followed by a sharp sell-off.
EMA13 and EMA34 are diverging, signaling distribution and potential reversal ahead.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Major Resistance:
🔺 1.3433 – recent swing high and potential double top
🔺 1.3355 – mid-range resistance and EMA34 convergence (H2)
Key Support:
🔻 1.3303 – key FIBO + trendline intersection
🔻 1.3251 – medium-term bullish structure support
🔻 1.3174 – previous swing low and strategic BUY ZONE
🎯 Trading Scenarios
📍 Scenario A – False Break and Rejection from Resistance
Entry (SELL): 1.3430 – 1.3433 (after bearish confirmation)
Stop Loss: 1.3460
Take Profits: 1.3355 → 1.3303 → 1.3250
📍 Scenario B – Breakdown and Failed Retest
Entry (SELL): 1.3303 – 1.3310 (after support break and retest)
Stop Loss: 1.3340
Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3174
📍 Scenario C – Deep Buy from Strong Support
Entry (BUY): 1.3170 – 1.3174
Stop Loss: 1.3140
Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3300
⚠️ Key Reminders:
Stay cautious ahead of key US releases this week (PMI, FOMC Minutes), which may trigger high volatility.
Avoid FOMO and respect SL/TP discipline — especially near potential trap zones.
📌 Follow for intraday updates and real-time trade setups as the structure evolves. Flexibility is key in this market.
⚜️ Trade with Money Market Flow, logic, Price action 📉📈
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 7 to 15 Signals Vip
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 7 to 15 Signals Vip
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
⚜️ Trade with Money Market Flow, logic, Price action 📉📈
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 7 to 15 Signals Vip
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 7 to 15 Signals Vip
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.