📌 Trade Execution & Technicals
Pair: GBP/USD
Timeframe: 15M
Trade Type: Long Position
Entry: 1.2816 – Price rejected key Fibonacci retracement level (0.62 Fib) after a liquidity sweep
Stop Loss: Below 1.2800
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.2862 (-0.27 Fib extension) ✅ Target
TP2: 1.2883 (-0.62 Fib extension) ✅ Target
Technical Confluence:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price bounced off the 0.62 retracement (1.2816)
Market Structure: Higher low formation confirmed bullish continuation
Institutional Liquidity Grab: Price swept sell-side liquidity before reversing bullish
📊 Trade Outcome
✅ High-Probability Long Setup
Both TP1 & TP2 levels hit with strong bullish momentum
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 1:3
Price action confirmed bullish institutional positioning
🌍 High-Impact News That Influenced GBP/USD
UK S&P Global Services PMI (Actual: 51.0 vs Forecast: 51.1) – Slightly weaker, but still expansionary
US ADP National Employment (77K vs Forecast: 140K) – Weaker than expected, USD pressured
BoE Treasury Select Hearing (Hawkish Bias) – Supporting GBP strength
US ISM Manufacturing Prices & Business Activity Upcoming – Expected to increase USD volatility
💡 News Summary:
Weaker-than-expected US jobs data pressured the USD, providing momentum for GBP/USD upside
GBP remained resilient despite mixed PMI data, benefiting from USD weakness
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
🔍 Prime Market Terminal Key Data:
GBP/USD Average True Range (ATR):
1-week ATR: 0.81%
1-month ATR: 0.86%
Institutional Liquidity Insights:
High liquidity buildup in the 1.2800-1.2820 range, acting as support
Strong order flow pushing GBP/USD higher post-US employment data release
🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow
📊 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data & Smart Money Insights:
Dealer Positioning:
GBP Net Positioning: +56,707 contracts (Bullish institutional sentiment)
USD Net Positioning: -11,542 contracts (Bearish outlook on USD)
Open Interest & Retail Sentiment:
Retail Short Bias: 72% Short, 28% Long – Potential short squeeze
Smart Money Accumulation Zone: 1.2800-1.2820
📌 Conclusion
🔹 Why This Trade Worked:
✔ Liquidity Grab Below 1.2816 Before Reversal
✔ Institutional Positioning Confirmed Bullish Momentum
✔ Weaker US Jobs Data Weighed on USD, Pushing GBP/USD Higher
🚀 Next Steps:
Monitoring 1.2860 for continuation towards 1.2900 key level
Watching upcoming US ISM data for potential volatility spike
🔥 What’s your outlook on GBP/USD? Comment your thoughts below!
Pair: GBP/USD
Timeframe: 15M
Trade Type: Long Position
Entry: 1.2816 – Price rejected key Fibonacci retracement level (0.62 Fib) after a liquidity sweep
Stop Loss: Below 1.2800
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.2862 (-0.27 Fib extension) ✅ Target
TP2: 1.2883 (-0.62 Fib extension) ✅ Target
Technical Confluence:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price bounced off the 0.62 retracement (1.2816)
Market Structure: Higher low formation confirmed bullish continuation
Institutional Liquidity Grab: Price swept sell-side liquidity before reversing bullish
📊 Trade Outcome
✅ High-Probability Long Setup
Both TP1 & TP2 levels hit with strong bullish momentum
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 1:3
Price action confirmed bullish institutional positioning
🌍 High-Impact News That Influenced GBP/USD
UK S&P Global Services PMI (Actual: 51.0 vs Forecast: 51.1) – Slightly weaker, but still expansionary
US ADP National Employment (77K vs Forecast: 140K) – Weaker than expected, USD pressured
BoE Treasury Select Hearing (Hawkish Bias) – Supporting GBP strength
US ISM Manufacturing Prices & Business Activity Upcoming – Expected to increase USD volatility
💡 News Summary:
Weaker-than-expected US jobs data pressured the USD, providing momentum for GBP/USD upside
GBP remained resilient despite mixed PMI data, benefiting from USD weakness
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
🔍 Prime Market Terminal Key Data:
GBP/USD Average True Range (ATR):
1-week ATR: 0.81%
1-month ATR: 0.86%
Institutional Liquidity Insights:
High liquidity buildup in the 1.2800-1.2820 range, acting as support
Strong order flow pushing GBP/USD higher post-US employment data release
🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow
📊 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data & Smart Money Insights:
Dealer Positioning:
GBP Net Positioning: +56,707 contracts (Bullish institutional sentiment)
USD Net Positioning: -11,542 contracts (Bearish outlook on USD)
Open Interest & Retail Sentiment:
Retail Short Bias: 72% Short, 28% Long – Potential short squeeze
Smart Money Accumulation Zone: 1.2800-1.2820
📌 Conclusion
🔹 Why This Trade Worked:
✔ Liquidity Grab Below 1.2816 Before Reversal
✔ Institutional Positioning Confirmed Bullish Momentum
✔ Weaker US Jobs Data Weighed on USD, Pushing GBP/USD Higher
🚀 Next Steps:
Monitoring 1.2860 for continuation towards 1.2900 key level
Watching upcoming US ISM data for potential volatility spike
🔥 What’s your outlook on GBP/USD? Comment your thoughts below!
Trade closed: target reached
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.