Is The Next Upside Target For Gold $2500/oz?

Technical Momentum Strengthens

Gold Futures hit an all-time high in 2024 at $2,454 on the June futures contract on May 20th. Since then, futures have corrected; however, gold remains firmly above the rising 50-day moving average at $2,332 and well above the 200-day moving average at $2111. The technical perspective shows momentum studies increasing, with the 9-day moving average trading above the 18-day.

Stochastics are rising from oversold territory, and DMI + above DMI- , indicating that the bulls are technically in control.

Tailwinds Continue to Develop

With a 0% chance of a June rate cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are focused on September; swaps are pricing in a 58% chance that the Fed will make its first interest rate hike in the cycle.

Geopolitical tensions, rampant fiscal spending, and central bank buying have been the main drivers and have significantly propelled Gold prices recently.

Industrial Metals Strengthen

Performance remains strong in the Precious Metals space and has continued to spill into the industrial complex. Traders continue to monitor manufacturing, Chinese Economic data, and the U.S. economy, which have recently driven copper futures back over 5.00/pound and Silver over 32.00/oz.

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*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.

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