On Friday, Gold closed below the 6, 8 and 21 day moving averages to descend into the Ichimolu cloud for the first time since the end of January. The support at 1222 held up but the buying was not strong enough to force price back above the 21 day moving average. The close below the 8 day moving average the day before generated a Sell signal in my strategy and I am now long. I will talk about targets and where this bear move might be heading later in the week. Also note that I have written a new indicator that plots the Heikin Ashi bar color on the bottom of the chart. As you can see, there were 3 red Heikin Ashi candles to end last week. Before those 3, there was a yellow Heikin Ashi candle which I have coded to show Heikin Ashi dojis. Looking at the weekly chart, we can see that last week broke the trend of 4 consecutive up weeks. Not only was last week a down week, the candle is an outside candle signaling that a change in direction is about to happen. It is worth noting though that while price closed well within the Ichimoku cloud, it did close above the 21 weekly period moving average and that there has not yet been a change of color on the Heikin Ashi candles. This will have to change before we can definitively say that the bull run is 'officially' over. On the volume profile chart, you can see that price tried to move higher up the profile but then came back down and ended last week right at the long term POC. The next few days should confirm whether or not price will be moving below the POC or not. Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposed only and does not constitute trading advice. All trades you take are at your own risk.
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