Analysis:
This chart, published on TradingView.com on March 4, 2025, depicts the daily price action of Golden Energy Mines TBK (GEMS.JK), an Indonesian stock listed on the IDX. The chart shows a significant price movement with a breakout pattern, followed by a projected target of 11,575, as indicated by the green arrow.
Price Trend and Breakout:
The chart captures the stock's price movement from late 2024 to early 2025. Initially, the price fluctuated between 9,000 and 10,000, showing a consolidation phase with several red and green candlesticks indicating volatility.
A sharp decline occurred around late January 2025, with the price dropping to a low of approximately 8,825, marking a significant support level.
Following this dip, the price began to recover, forming a series of higher lows and breaking above the previous resistance around the 9,000–9,200 range in early March. This breakout is a bullish signal, suggesting renewed buying interest and potential for further upside.
Price Target:
The green arrow points to a projected price target of 11,575, representing a potential increase of approximately 28% from the breakout level near 9,000.
The target appears to be derived using a technical analysis method, possibly a measured move or Fibonacci extension, though the exact methodology isn't specified. The target aligns with historical resistance levels seen around November 2024, where the price briefly touched 11,600 before pulling back.
Performance Metrics:
The chart notes a +450-point gain, equivalent to a 5.22% increase, likely referencing the price movement immediately following the breakout. This confirms the bullish momentum in the short term.
Support and Risk:
The 8,825 level, where the price bottomed out, acts as a key support zone. If the price fails to sustain its upward momentum, this level could be tested again.
The breakout above 9,200 is critical. A pullback below this level might invalidate the bullish setup, signaling a false breakout.
Market Context:
Golden Energy Mines operates in the coal mining sector, which can be influenced by global energy demand, commodity prices, and regional economic factors in Indonesia. The bullish breakout might reflect positive sentiment in the sector, such as rising coal prices or favorable government policies, though these factors aren't explicitly mentioned in the chart.
Conclusion:
The chart suggests a strong bullish outlook for GEMS.JK following its breakout above 9,200, with a target of 11,575. Traders should monitor the 9,200 level as a key support to confirm the continuation of this uptrend, while also keeping an eye on the broader market and sector-specific developments that could impact the stock's trajectory. If the price sustains above the breakout level, the projected target appears achievable based on historical price action and technical patterns. However, a drop below 9,200 could signal a reversal, with 8,825 as the next significant support.