DAX 40 : READY FOR NEW HIGHS?

- The market has been trading inside a bearish channel since the beginning of April ; the short-term trend is then bearish.

- This bearish short-term trend took place after short-sellers took control of the market following a new record high above 18,600pts.
Indeed, the prospect of a "higher for longer" narrative regarding monetary policies made the current high stock valuations difficult to defend for bull traders, which led to a flag pattern correction.

However, the market recently registered a sharp bounce back over 17,860pts, leading prices to the upper bound of the bearish flag.
Moving averages are reversing while the DMI indicator displays a rising bullish pressure within a directional movement.

- The bearish flag pattern remains valid so far. However, the recent bullish price action confirmed by technical indicators may mean the correction could be over soon.
If the market manages to clear the 18,145pts level, not only the market could go back to its historical high around 18,600pts, but even beyond towards new highs.
This scenario could be confirmed not later than this week as traders patiently wait for more corporate results to see how companies dealt with tighter monetary environment in Q1.


Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at ActivTrades

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