📈 LONG SETUP - BUY THE DIP (Swing Trade)
Entry: 22,350 - 22,400
Take Profit (TP): 23,500 (first target), 24,000 (extended target)
Stop Loss (SL): 22,150
Reasoning:
Strong historical support at 22,300 - 22,400.
Bullish divergence on MACD and RSI on 1H and 4H charts.
High timeframe trend remains bullish; expecting continuation after the retracement.
📈Market Overview & Bias
Daily & 4H Charts:
The GER40 has been in a strong bullish trend over the past few months but is currently experiencing a retracement.
The 21 EMA and 8 EMA are converging, signaling indecision or potential trend exhaustion.
200 EMA remains below price, suggesting long-term uptrend remains intact.
The 100 EMA is acting as resistance on lower timeframes.
Key support zones: 22,300 and 21,900.
Key resistance zones: 23,000 and 23,500.
Lower Timeframes (1H & 15M)
The price is consolidating between the 22,400 - 22,700 range.
A potential reversal pattern is forming on the 15M chart with bullish divergence on RSI and MACD.
ATR values suggest increased volatility, so tight stop losses are necessary.
Key Economic & Geopolitical Considerations
ECB Rate Decision (March 21, 2025)
Hawkish stance → Might push GER40 lower.
Dovish stance → GER40 could break resistance.
US CPI & NFP Reports
Inflation data affecting European stock sentiment.
Strong USD could pressure GER40 downward.
Geopolitical Risks
German & EU economic policies affecting investor sentiment.
Tensions between China/EU and EU/USA on trade policies could add volatility.
mportant: this is not personalized financial advice. It’s an illustration of how one might combine risk management principles with the support/resistance zones in play.
Final Note & Disclaimer
All market scenarios carry probabilities, not certainties. Technical signals are best combined with macro fundamentals (e.g., interest rates, USD behavior, geopolitical risks) to form a well‐rounded market view. This consolidated analysis serves an educational purpose—always do additional research or consult a licensed professional before making trading or investment decisions.
Entry: 22,350 - 22,400
Take Profit (TP): 23,500 (first target), 24,000 (extended target)
Stop Loss (SL): 22,150
Reasoning:
Strong historical support at 22,300 - 22,400.
Bullish divergence on MACD and RSI on 1H and 4H charts.
High timeframe trend remains bullish; expecting continuation after the retracement.
📈Market Overview & Bias
Daily & 4H Charts:
The GER40 has been in a strong bullish trend over the past few months but is currently experiencing a retracement.
The 21 EMA and 8 EMA are converging, signaling indecision or potential trend exhaustion.
200 EMA remains below price, suggesting long-term uptrend remains intact.
The 100 EMA is acting as resistance on lower timeframes.
Key support zones: 22,300 and 21,900.
Key resistance zones: 23,000 and 23,500.
Lower Timeframes (1H & 15M)
The price is consolidating between the 22,400 - 22,700 range.
A potential reversal pattern is forming on the 15M chart with bullish divergence on RSI and MACD.
ATR values suggest increased volatility, so tight stop losses are necessary.
Key Economic & Geopolitical Considerations
ECB Rate Decision (March 21, 2025)
Hawkish stance → Might push GER40 lower.
Dovish stance → GER40 could break resistance.
US CPI & NFP Reports
Inflation data affecting European stock sentiment.
Strong USD could pressure GER40 downward.
Geopolitical Risks
German & EU economic policies affecting investor sentiment.
Tensions between China/EU and EU/USA on trade policies could add volatility.
mportant: this is not personalized financial advice. It’s an illustration of how one might combine risk management principles with the support/resistance zones in play.
Final Note & Disclaimer
All market scenarios carry probabilities, not certainties. Technical signals are best combined with macro fundamentals (e.g., interest rates, USD behavior, geopolitical risks) to form a well‐rounded market view. This consolidated analysis serves an educational purpose—always do additional research or consult a licensed professional before making trading or investment decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.