Many have observed that gold (using GLD here as a reliable proxy) might be forming a huge cup-and-handle pattern (1,2). That may prove to be the case. However, at the moment, the similarity of the unfolding trend to the 2011-13 topping pattern seems noteworthy in itself. Perhaps we’re seeing the start of the cup-and-handle leading to an upward bull run, or perhaps it will be a rerun of the 2011-13 pattern with gold going into a sustained decline. Imo, persuasive arguments can be made for either outcome, so I’ll just wait and see and in the meantime point out this arguably curious unfolding similarity.
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