All hail Gold Digger. Spread and Distribute
GOLD has seems to be at its distribution area. Based on TP calculated using Law of Cause & Effect PnF chart, conservative target can be considered reached at USD2100 area (2077 to be exact).
Here's how I deduced TP reached:
6 years of accumulation (2013-2019) at USD1180-1400/oz shows a classic schematic of wyckoff accumulation phase. On PnF chart, using box size of USD5 and reversal amount of 3, I got a total of about 154 accumulation columns. With this information, I can get the approximation amount to be marked up = 154*5*3 = USD924.
From the chart, we can see a complete 5 Elliot Waves and its ABC correction waves.
Although it might be true that Gold is currently at distribution phase, it doesn't mean that Gold price is set to make a cliff diving. Distribution phase might take up months to years, as seen from historical data in 2012, it took 1 year of distribution before mark down. Possible distribution range might be around USD 1800-2000/oz
IMHO, I think it is not a good time to start buying gold now for a long term investment. However, for a short term play around USD 1800-2000, one can consider and find a good entry point around the neckline of this distribution area.
Here's how I deduced TP reached:
6 years of accumulation (2013-2019) at USD1180-1400/oz shows a classic schematic of wyckoff accumulation phase. On PnF chart, using box size of USD5 and reversal amount of 3, I got a total of about 154 accumulation columns. With this information, I can get the approximation amount to be marked up = 154*5*3 = USD924.
From the chart, we can see a complete 5 Elliot Waves and its ABC correction waves.
Although it might be true that Gold is currently at distribution phase, it doesn't mean that Gold price is set to make a cliff diving. Distribution phase might take up months to years, as seen from historical data in 2012, it took 1 year of distribution before mark down. Possible distribution range might be around USD 1800-2000/oz
IMHO, I think it is not a good time to start buying gold now for a long term investment. However, for a short term play around USD 1800-2000, one can consider and find a good entry point around the neckline of this distribution area.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.