Weekend news shows that the People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings by 160,000 ounces again after six months. After more than 13 years of civil war, Syrian opposition forces seized control of the capital Damascus on Sunday. The martial law crisis in South Korea continues to ferment. In the short term, bullish opportunities have increased.
On the one hand, the market will continue to pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation, but more attention may be focused on the US November CPI data to be released this week. Investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations. Although the situation in Syria may boost safe-haven buying in the short term, it should be noted that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the conflict between Israel and Hamas may usher in a ceasefire, which may suppress the trend of gold prices.
The MA10/7-day moving average of gold still remains flat, the price is running above the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator continues to adjust the central axis. The Asian session opened high and touched 2648, and the Bollinger Bands on the hourly chart also closed. It is expected to continue to fluctuate widely at the beginning of the week. Intraday trading will first look at the 2625/2657 range adjustment, and short-term thinking game of selling high and buying low.
The risk aversion sentiment of gold rose over the weekend, but the rise of gold did not continue. It continued to rise and fall, so it is still difficult for gold bulls to stir up big waves. Wait for the rebound to continue to short.
Gold continued to fluctuate in 1 hour, and the moving average still crossed downward and diverged. Gold has not broken through 2657 under the risk aversion situation, so gold will continue to short at highs below 2657.
First support: 2625, second support: 2616, third support: 2603
First resistance: 2657, second resistance: 2668, third resistance: 2677
Trading strategy: According to the first resistance/support, sell high and buy low in the range of 2625~2657. The focus above is 2668.
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