- Thanks to expectations of a dovish monetary turnaround in the United States during the 4th quarter of 2023, GOLD benefited from the weakness of the US dollar and recgistered higher highs and lows. The medium-term trend was therefore bullish.
- Since the start of 2024 and the end of hopes for rapid rate cuts, the yellow metal has come under pressure from a rise in the US Dollar, which led the market to break its medium-term upward channel.
Another blow was dealt today with the latest US inflation figures, which came out well above analysts' expectations (3.1% vs 2.9% expected).
- This renewed appetite for the American Dollar continues to keep the yellow metal under pressure and could well take the market even lower, below $2000, towards $1975 then $1937, 2 and 3 month lows respectively.
- Technically speaking, the bearish break is also confirmed by the Stochastic as well as the breakout of 31.8% Fibonacci (today) following a saucer top heralding a trend reversal.
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