๐ฐ Pair Name : XAU/USD
๐ฐ Time Frame : 4HOUR
๐ฐ Scale Type : LONG SCALE
๐ฐ Direction: BUY SELL BUYYYY SELLLLL
๐ Technical Analysis: Gold Eyeing Critical Levels and Potential Downside Targets ๐
๐ Chart: 4H timeframe
๐ Gold has reached a key Fibonacci level of 61.8% at the $1,912-$1,900 range! ๐ The past two weeks witnessed a bullish surge, propelling gold to retest the 23.6% Fibonacci level and fill the market imbalance created by months of selling. ๐
๐ฆ Additionally, the completion of the CD leg of a smaller bearish crab pattern adds more weight to the current scenario. Now, we find ourselves at a pivotal moment, as the bullish price action reached the 50% Fibonacci level, leaving behind a massive imbalance area below! ๐ฒ
๐ช Gold has just breached the daily demand zone, smashing through the 4H demand zone within it! ๐ Our analysis suggests that gold might be collecting the last bit of liquidity above, specifically around the key high of $1,969 on both the daily and 4H charts. ๐
โก๏ธ Brace yourself for a potential drop towards the imbalance zone below, followed by a retest of the 4H demand zone. From there, the stage could be set for another retest of the 23.6% Fibonacci zone above! ๐
๐ Looking ahead, keep an eye on the Fib level 0.786 at the $1,866 area! This zone serves as a juicy target for gold, aligning with the first target of the larger bearish crab pattern, around the $1,860 area. ๐ฐ
๐ฅ Fundamental Analysis: Bearish Factors Impacting Gold ๐ฅ
๐ Gold prices have been on a relentless decline since July 6, marked by Engulfing Bearish Deliberation candlestick patterns. The invalidated Bull Flag formation on the 4H chart and approaching pressure points at $1,962.80 - $1,966.80 indicate a bearish sentiment. ๐
๐ฐ To anticipate a significant correction, we must closely monitor the US Dollar Index (DX) and its momentum! A positive breakthrough of the medium-term resistance zone, previously support, on the weekly chart could trigger a substantial decline in gold prices that would be difficult to stop. ๐
๐ก Conclusion: Get Ready for Exciting Moves in Gold! ๐ก
โ ๏ธ Gold is at a critical juncture, presenting both technical and fundamental bearish signals. Stay alert as gold targets the imbalance zone below and potential downside targets at the 0.786 Fibonacci level! ๐
๐ Stay tuned and be prepared to take advantage of the next big moves in the gold market! Happy trading! ๐๐ฐ