The opportunity to break 2500 has arrived
Updated
https://www.tradingview.com/x/joUpN3jP/
Last Friday's market was actually quite dull. Even with the support of retail data, I am not very interested in this data. I have never seen how much volatility it can cause to gold since I started the industry. In the end, it was only a high of 2577 and a low of 63. This volatility is not as good as the rapid decline of 2554. It is really embarrassing. It is obviously the market of Black Friday, but there has been no performance for two weeks. I have been looking forward to it in vain. The main reason is that I want to make another market with a drop of 40 US dollars on the same day. There is no way. I can't stop looking down just because there is no volatility, right? Just start again this week.
And I am not surprised at all by the performance of the opening gap. The market has been like this in recent weeks. It's nothing more than the difference in the size of the gap. Everyone knows the reason. Whether it is the market sensitivity after the election or the reaction after the interest rate cut, it is normal to jump. Fortunately, the gap is not big today. Although the volatility is large, it will not be very extreme.
Generally, when there is a jump market, I will tell you a few trading rules. This is my summary of many years of experience.
The bigger the gap, the faster the market fluctuates. Don't rush to see the gap filling, because you don't know whether it will rise or fall first. The most stable way is to wait for the first fluctuation. Take this gap as an example. It is strictly forbidden to go short directly to see the gap filling at the first time, because you don't know the first wave of action. If it really fills up the first time, then you can go long at the low point after the filling. On the contrary, it rebounds upward at the first time, then you look for high point pressure to see it fill the decline. Not to mention that this approach is 100% correct, but I usually operate the transaction in this way when facing a gap.
The characteristic of the gap market is that the initial fluctuation speed and amplitude are large. Don't make any chasing orders, let alone think that you will miss something. Moreover, if the first wave of gold fills down or falls a little, it is likely to rebound upwards, which is not friendly to my bearish perspective. On the contrary, the first upward movement is what makes me happy. I have already made a short order near 92, just to see it fill the gap 2565 later. At least 30 US dollars of space can be taken. Moreover, after the gap is filled, it is not impossible to look lower, but this should be the US market or tomorrow. It is known that the support of the low point of gold fluctuation is near 2555. I also need to see whether gold will spit back to this position.
What needs to be determined now is whether gold will start to adjust upward or turn to the adjustment downward mode. This is the only controversy in the market and the focus of long and short trading this week. What can be determined is that the last wave of emotional selling from 2790 to 2536 has ended. Will the second wave of adjustment of more than 250 US dollars occur? Where will it happen? How low can it fall after it happens?
I emphasize again that 2790 to 2536 is the same wave of decline, because the speed and scale are almost the same, there is no need to separate the decline of more than 200 US dollars. I originally thought that the bottom this time would be the same as the last time at 2590. Note that the sideways fluctuation at the upper end of the triangle below is the same as the rhythm of last Friday. The tail did not touch the previous low of 2643, and it has already started a weak decline. This is why I will go short near 2570 on Friday. The bifurcation line also has the pressure guidance of this point, and it has not touched the top and bottom conversion position of 2590. Then let's see the continued decline. It has been falling for a week, right? You want me to see a big reversal on the last day, that's impossible.
The direct surge in the morning was a bit unexpected to me, but it is not unacceptable, because the overall downward structure is still there, that is, the equidistant channel. I told members before that if there is a rise and pullback, we can still seek another high-altitude opportunity below 2600. Don’t you all dislike the feeling of being bearish at low levels? If this is the case, you will have the opportunity to trade at a high altitude. Look, it is here, perfect. The previous top and bottom conversion position is 92. It is possible to do it without saying much. Secondly, there is a retracement of 2602 above. The cost performance of bearish trading is very high. At the same time, you can also see the gap filling 2565 at the first time.
Of course, since it can fluctuate at the bottom of the cycle, the possibility of bottoming out cannot be ruled out. This is something that bulls need to study and recognize. I will not describe it too much here. Your trading position must be firm. And confirm that the upward position of gold adjustment is 2620 and 2643 above. I will naturally deal with it at that time. I don’t know what kind of falling pattern it will be if it really falls again this time. Its journey will definitely not be smooth sailing according to conventional fluctuations. For example, 2555 or 2530 below are also prices that need to be challenged. Whether it is repeated or oscillating, as long as it goes down, I will definitely catch this wave of market. You can also see the price after the deep break, which is probably around 2480.
Last Friday's market was actually quite dull. Even with the support of retail data, I am not very interested in this data. I have never seen how much volatility it can cause to gold since I started the industry. In the end, it was only a high of 2577 and a low of 63. This volatility is not as good as the rapid decline of 2554. It is really embarrassing. It is obviously the market of Black Friday, but there has been no performance for two weeks. I have been looking forward to it in vain. The main reason is that I want to make another market with a drop of 40 US dollars on the same day. There is no way. I can't stop looking down just because there is no volatility, right? Just start again this week.
And I am not surprised at all by the performance of the opening gap. The market has been like this in recent weeks. It's nothing more than the difference in the size of the gap. Everyone knows the reason. Whether it is the market sensitivity after the election or the reaction after the interest rate cut, it is normal to jump. Fortunately, the gap is not big today. Although the volatility is large, it will not be very extreme.
Generally, when there is a jump market, I will tell you a few trading rules. This is my summary of many years of experience.
The bigger the gap, the faster the market fluctuates. Don't rush to see the gap filling, because you don't know whether it will rise or fall first. The most stable way is to wait for the first fluctuation. Take this gap as an example. It is strictly forbidden to go short directly to see the gap filling at the first time, because you don't know the first wave of action. If it really fills up the first time, then you can go long at the low point after the filling. On the contrary, it rebounds upward at the first time, then you look for high point pressure to see it fill the decline. Not to mention that this approach is 100% correct, but I usually operate the transaction in this way when facing a gap.
The characteristic of the gap market is that the initial fluctuation speed and amplitude are large. Don't make any chasing orders, let alone think that you will miss something. Moreover, if the first wave of gold fills down or falls a little, it is likely to rebound upwards, which is not friendly to my bearish perspective. On the contrary, the first upward movement is what makes me happy. I have already made a short order near 92, just to see it fill the gap 2565 later. At least 30 US dollars of space can be taken. Moreover, after the gap is filled, it is not impossible to look lower, but this should be the US market or tomorrow. It is known that the support of the low point of gold fluctuation is near 2555. I also need to see whether gold will spit back to this position.
What needs to be determined now is whether gold will start to adjust upward or turn to the adjustment downward mode. This is the only controversy in the market and the focus of long and short trading this week. What can be determined is that the last wave of emotional selling from 2790 to 2536 has ended. Will the second wave of adjustment of more than 250 US dollars occur? Where will it happen? How low can it fall after it happens?
I emphasize again that 2790 to 2536 is the same wave of decline, because the speed and scale are almost the same, there is no need to separate the decline of more than 200 US dollars. I originally thought that the bottom this time would be the same as the last time at 2590. Note that the sideways fluctuation at the upper end of the triangle below is the same as the rhythm of last Friday. The tail did not touch the previous low of 2643, and it has already started a weak decline. This is why I will go short near 2570 on Friday. The bifurcation line also has the pressure guidance of this point, and it has not touched the top and bottom conversion position of 2590. Then let's see the continued decline. It has been falling for a week, right? You want me to see a big reversal on the last day, that's impossible.
The direct surge in the morning was a bit unexpected to me, but it is not unacceptable, because the overall downward structure is still there, that is, the equidistant channel. I told members before that if there is a rise and pullback, we can still seek another high-altitude opportunity below 2600. Don’t you all dislike the feeling of being bearish at low levels? If this is the case, you will have the opportunity to trade at a high altitude. Look, it is here, perfect. The previous top and bottom conversion position is 92. It is possible to do it without saying much. Secondly, there is a retracement of 2602 above. The cost performance of bearish trading is very high. At the same time, you can also see the gap filling 2565 at the first time.
Of course, since it can fluctuate at the bottom of the cycle, the possibility of bottoming out cannot be ruled out. This is something that bulls need to study and recognize. I will not describe it too much here. Your trading position must be firm. And confirm that the upward position of gold adjustment is 2620 and 2643 above. I will naturally deal with it at that time. I don’t know what kind of falling pattern it will be if it really falls again this time. Its journey will definitely not be smooth sailing according to conventional fluctuations. For example, 2555 or 2530 below are also prices that need to be challenged. Whether it is repeated or oscillating, as long as it goes down, I will definitely catch this wave of market. You can also see the price after the deep break, which is probably around 2480.
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