GOOG is in an early reversal
Updated
GOOG with its dominant search engine, YouTube, Maps and other apps besides cloud services
is a revenue gisnt. On the daily chart, it has had a respectable 40% YTD . However, I see signs
of a reversal. Added to the chart are the anchored VWAP bands beginning from the earnings of
November 2022. Price is in the neighborhood of 3 standard deviations from the mean. This is an
area where institutional and professional traders like to sell and earn their profits. Several
recent candles had wicks beyond that third standard deviation line. The candle stick analysis
is that of a " 3 bar play" - in this case, a green candle then a Doji candle suggesting indecision
and finally, a red candle documenting the change in direction. The ADX indicator shows
the weakening of trend directional strength topping out and then decreasing. The POC line
of the long-term volume profile is about the same level as the mean VWAP line. That is to
say, there is congruence there and so a very strong buying zone with high volatility
Overall I will take a short trade in 20 shares of GOOG with a stop loss at 129 and take a profit
of half at 106 ( above the POC line) and the other half at half at 103 ( near VWAP) using a sell-
stop order when the price crosses $ 0.25 below market to assure the direction
validation. If the trade goes in my direction to the target I expect a R0! of 15- 18% overall.
IF you want to know my idea of a good option trade leave a comment. IF you take a short
trade on the stock, I wish you the best of luck in your trade. I will adjust
stop loss down to the entry price when the stock price goes under 120 to make the
trade risk-free and then decrease the stop loss price by 4.50 upon market of 115. When
the market goes under 110, I'll change the stop loss to a trailing loss of 2 % and when it goes
under 108 change the trailing loss to 1% as alerted by alerts on the price that I have setup
to minimize screen time in trade management .
is a revenue gisnt. On the daily chart, it has had a respectable 40% YTD . However, I see signs
of a reversal. Added to the chart are the anchored VWAP bands beginning from the earnings of
November 2022. Price is in the neighborhood of 3 standard deviations from the mean. This is an
area where institutional and professional traders like to sell and earn their profits. Several
recent candles had wicks beyond that third standard deviation line. The candle stick analysis
is that of a " 3 bar play" - in this case, a green candle then a Doji candle suggesting indecision
and finally, a red candle documenting the change in direction. The ADX indicator shows
the weakening of trend directional strength topping out and then decreasing. The POC line
of the long-term volume profile is about the same level as the mean VWAP line. That is to
say, there is congruence there and so a very strong buying zone with high volatility
Overall I will take a short trade in 20 shares of GOOG with a stop loss at 129 and take a profit
of half at 106 ( above the POC line) and the other half at half at 103 ( near VWAP) using a sell-
stop order when the price crosses $ 0.25 below market to assure the direction
validation. If the trade goes in my direction to the target I expect a R0! of 15- 18% overall.
IF you want to know my idea of a good option trade leave a comment. IF you take a short
trade on the stock, I wish you the best of luck in your trade. I will adjust
stop loss down to the entry price when the stock price goes under 120 to make the
trade risk-free and then decrease the stop loss price by 4.50 upon market of 115. When
the market goes under 110, I'll change the stop loss to a trailing loss of 2 % and when it goes
under 108 change the trailing loss to 1% as alerted by alerts on the price that I have setup
to minimize screen time in trade management .
Note
The GOOG chart is showing a megaphone pattern. I would draw the trendlinesand show the price to be at the upper resistance trendline for a bounce down to
the lower support trendline but it would clutter the chart even more than it
already is. A megaphone pattern is suggestive of increasing volatility over time.
Momentum traders typically love increasing volatility. It is bread and butter
Note
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