GER30 (GRXEUR) - Bearish Scenario - Bear Correction Not Over
Updated
*If you like this idea, please support it with a like or share. Thank you.
EU Indices crashed during the second part of 2018 and these bearish sequences were successfully tracked with the analysis in the related ideas.
2019 started with a bang!During the first quarter It was unclear if stock markets worldwide indeed were to recover like that. I have to admit, I did not trust the "thrust" that much.
CAC40 & GER30 are showing clearer signs of a five-wave bullish sequence completing, thus paving the way for bearish swings.
These bearish swings should occur anyway, regardless if it's a corrective Intermediate (2) degree or another bearish impulse for the knock-out.
Should the next move be on the down-side, then it would be closely watched, because its sequence will give clear signs on the real direction of the Market.
Elliott Wave Analysis - EU Indices
In this scenario, the current five-wave sequence would reflect the 1st leg of a larger degree bullish impulse, which would last a while and would allow the "complacency" sentiment to return and prevail over the next cycle.
Intermediate (2) would wipe out 50-61.8% of the entire gains these indices have shown until now, after which the Market should go bullish once more and in a "rampage".
*Scenario 2 - Bear Correction Not Over
On a larger degree, GER30 (GRXEUR / DAX30) has a possibility of crashing for good but there are no realistic signs of that just yet.If the next bearish swing would show and impulsive sequence, then this scenario could be followed up.
*Summary
EU Indices could be turning bearish, as the current wave counts are indicating bearish sequences ahead.
P.S. See related Ideas below.
EU Indices crashed during the second part of 2018 and these bearish sequences were successfully tracked with the analysis in the related ideas.
2019 started with a bang!During the first quarter It was unclear if stock markets worldwide indeed were to recover like that. I have to admit, I did not trust the "thrust" that much.
CAC40 & GER30 are showing clearer signs of a five-wave bullish sequence completing, thus paving the way for bearish swings.
These bearish swings should occur anyway, regardless if it's a corrective Intermediate (2) degree or another bearish impulse for the knock-out.
Should the next move be on the down-side, then it would be closely watched, because its sequence will give clear signs on the real direction of the Market.
Elliott Wave Analysis - EU Indices
- Scenario 1 - Bull Market Returning
In this scenario, the current five-wave sequence would reflect the 1st leg of a larger degree bullish impulse, which would last a while and would allow the "complacency" sentiment to return and prevail over the next cycle.
Intermediate (2) would wipe out 50-61.8% of the entire gains these indices have shown until now, after which the Market should go bullish once more and in a "rampage".
*Scenario 2 - Bear Correction Not Over
On a larger degree, GER30 (GRXEUR / DAX30) has a possibility of crashing for good but there are no realistic signs of that just yet.If the next bearish swing would show and impulsive sequence, then this scenario could be followed up.
*Summary
EU Indices could be turning bearish, as the current wave counts are indicating bearish sequences ahead.
P.S. See related Ideas below.
Note
Trade active
Let's see how deep this will be and what the sequence will look like.Note
Note
The Short on GRX30 (DAX30 / DAX) is very close.Note
Any moment now.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.