Our opinion on the current state of HARMONY(HAR)

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Harmony (HAR) was probably South Africa's most marginal gold mine until it got Mponeng gold mine working effectively. The development of this mine and its processing plant are expected to cost around US$2,8bn - and Harmony does not at this stage have its share of that cash (about R20bn). During 2021 the company purchased Mponeng gold mine for R4,2bn. Mponeng is the world’s deepest mine and has all the problems of ultra-deep level mining.

The company is building a 30mw solar park in the Free State and has plans to build a further 80mw of green power. On 6th October 2022, the company announced that it had agreed to buy 100% of the Eva copper project in Australia for R4,1bn. Harmony remains a volatile gold producer and hence risky - although recent acquisitions could change its direction significantly, taking it out of precious metals. Eva is only expected to commence production in 3 years and is expected to add 260 000 ounces of gold and 1,7 billion pounds of copper to Harmony's reserves.

On 3rd April 2024 the company announced that it had signed a wage deal with all of its unions for the next five years. In its results for the six months to 31st December 2024 the company reported gold revenue up 19% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 33%. The company said, "Operating free cash flow, up 46% to R10 392 million (US$579 million) driven by the high average gold price received. Strong, flexible balance sheet in a record net cash position of R7 283 million (US$386 million)."

Technically, the share, while volatile, is in a strong upward trend. It is a play on the gold price and the rand/US dollar exchange rate. It was added to the Winning Shares List (WSL) on 16-11-23 at 9920c. It is now trading for 18586c. On 5th February 2025 the company announced that two employees had lost their lives at the company's mines.

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