HBAR Ready to Rise for the 3rd Time
Updated
HBAR broke out of a falling wedge on its weekly chart a couple of months ago. It has since held above weekly support, and well above the wedge. If there is another dip prior to continuation, I could see it test the top of the wedge, near the bottom of support. However, if we lose support and close below the top of the wedge, this idea becomes invalidated.
Measured targets / fib levels:
-- TP 1 - 599-605 sats
-- TP 2 - 734-744 sats
Some confluence to support this idea:
-- Chart VWAP, with the full chart in view, wants average price to be near the top of the resistance area shown.
-- Zooming in to view the falling wedge moves the chart VWAP to line up with TP 1 as well (see chart snapshot below).
-- TP 1 lines up closely with our 0.618 fib (within 6 sats), where fibs are based on the previous move from trough to peak.
-- TP 2 also lines up closely with our 0.786 fib (within 10 sats)
-- RSI has bottomed out, slightly higher than our previous bottom, and it shows similar movement to the last two moves from bottom, theorizing that each in a series of 3 (assuming we've begun our 3rd move) has a consolidation period that begins closer to its initial impulse, and consolidates for a longer period each time.
-- Stoch RSI has also bottomed out and then reached top, also showing similar movement, and also theorizing that each in a series of 3 (again, assuming our 3rd move has begun) has a longer consolidation period between peak 1 and 2.
Zoomed in view of falling wedge and Chart VWAP lining up with TP 1:
Thanks for hearing my thoughts, please leave your own in the comments below. If this move does play out, I think it'll become highly likely that we see a new ATH before seeing any long-term bearish movement again. There is a linked idea for the HBAR/USD pair below under Link to Related Ideas, or here:
-dudebruh
Measured targets / fib levels:
-- TP 1 - 599-605 sats
-- TP 2 - 734-744 sats
Some confluence to support this idea:
-- Chart VWAP, with the full chart in view, wants average price to be near the top of the resistance area shown.
-- Zooming in to view the falling wedge moves the chart VWAP to line up with TP 1 as well (see chart snapshot below).
-- TP 1 lines up closely with our 0.618 fib (within 6 sats), where fibs are based on the previous move from trough to peak.
-- TP 2 also lines up closely with our 0.786 fib (within 10 sats)
-- RSI has bottomed out, slightly higher than our previous bottom, and it shows similar movement to the last two moves from bottom, theorizing that each in a series of 3 (assuming we've begun our 3rd move) has a consolidation period that begins closer to its initial impulse, and consolidates for a longer period each time.
-- Stoch RSI has also bottomed out and then reached top, also showing similar movement, and also theorizing that each in a series of 3 (again, assuming our 3rd move has begun) has a longer consolidation period between peak 1 and 2.
Zoomed in view of falling wedge and Chart VWAP lining up with TP 1:
Thanks for hearing my thoughts, please leave your own in the comments below. If this move does play out, I think it'll become highly likely that we see a new ATH before seeing any long-term bearish movement again. There is a linked idea for the HBAR/USD pair below under Link to Related Ideas, or here:
-dudebruh
Note
One last piece of confluence I forgot to mention:-- HBAR has shown a respect for 192-day Gann Cycles since the day after its first peak. 192-day Gann Cycles indicate major pivots (up or down), and we are approaching the next 192-day cycle. It should begin on or around Oct. 3rd, give or take a week or so.
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