This chart is pretty much self-explanatory and I don't think I have to go too deep into it. While the current level of new homes sold of 600k is normal. A continued deterioration would be of great concern. With sustained higher rates there is a good chance this will trigger a recession signal.
On the flip side, FED PIVITOORS have been wrong that we were/are in a recession. I have been very vocal on that point and rightly so. That does not mean when the facts change that I won't change my mind.
As always I am very cautious as to what I post and strive to give you the best honest analysis I possibly can. Accuracy matters to me. Shotgun predictions accuracy does not interest me at the least.
If I don't talk to you before the holidays. Health and happiness with lots of profits! :)
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.