Since my April 24th update, ICP has fallen into a pullback, as expected. We found resistance just shy of $21.00 and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on ICP?
How do we trade this? 🤔 As expected, ICP found resistance at the Resistance Zone of below $21.00 after three strong pushes up followed by a head and shoulders reversal pattern. That reversal pattern played out into a two-legged pullback, leaving us below the Support Zone at a low of $5.80. We now see the price strongly responding to this are and is now above the Support Zone with a strong bullish candle closing on it's high.
It's reasonable to enter a long here given that strong bullish candle close. It would not hurt to wait for a confirmation candle but since we've closed above support, you could take a slightly lower probability trade here and have a high probability of hitting the first take profit target of $11.225. Once that target is hit, take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:2 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in DOGE.
A final point of data is the RSI low and above the moving average of around 56.00. This indicates we are into the swing high and a long entry at this stage is warranted.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $8.45 🟥 Stop Loss: $5.675 ✅ Take Profit #1: $11.225 ✅ Take Profit #2: $14.00 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three legs up toward a resistance zone after a breakout 2. Head and Shoulders reversal pattern 3. Two-legged pullback to the Support Zone at $8.23 4. Long entry justified at current Signal Candle close above Support Zone 5. RSI at 56.00 and above the moving average. Supports a long entry.
💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.