Intel - where to next?
Updated
Thanks for viewing.
I was attracted to Intel after seeing its low PE ratio, very good dividend coverage ratio (it only pays out 27% of its free cash flow in dividends so its profit could halve without having any effect on dividends), high profit margins. I haven't delved too deep, all I did was a wee EW 'buy-zone' based on a 1:1 wave (C) extension. Wave (C) always has 5 waves, so I set a tiny sliver of a buy zone between two coincident levels and went looking to see if that matched up with any fundamental factors. It did actually match up well with the low-side consensus estimates of $40 from 36 analysts (the low side was $40 and the high side was $100 - which seems to suggest greater upside); money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=intc $40 wouldn't be that far below the 200 week SMA which has only briefly been exceeded in the past 10 years.
A tech Company with a forward PE ratio of 11? I definitely want to know more. Yes, it has some problems - it wouldn't be a bargain if it didn't. But it invests twice as much on R&D as AMD and Nvidia combined, so while 'throwing money at a problem' isn't the most elegant of solutions, they will probably get there in the end. They are valued far far below their smaller competitors who have much less scale and far tighter margins. They are in the process of shifting away from lower growth segments to higher growth (AI, cloud computing, data centres, IOT), so its not all going to be smooth. There is a degree of uncertainty about its future product execution and the market isn't pricing in much good news. So, it has started to become attractive from a contrarian standpoint. I really think a few of the sellers last week will regret that decision if they don't take a position on the dip.
This seems to be a good "buy and forget" stock if you think we will need more and not less computing power in the future.
Yes my buy-zone is really narrow - so the chances of calling the bottom are quite small - but hey - sometimes you have to hang it out there in the breeze. That is where I will step in as a long-term buy and hold investor with a 3+ year time horizon. I will start to take profit after $80 - fingers crossed :P
Anyway, that's me, good luck everyone.
I was attracted to Intel after seeing its low PE ratio, very good dividend coverage ratio (it only pays out 27% of its free cash flow in dividends so its profit could halve without having any effect on dividends), high profit margins. I haven't delved too deep, all I did was a wee EW 'buy-zone' based on a 1:1 wave (C) extension. Wave (C) always has 5 waves, so I set a tiny sliver of a buy zone between two coincident levels and went looking to see if that matched up with any fundamental factors. It did actually match up well with the low-side consensus estimates of $40 from 36 analysts (the low side was $40 and the high side was $100 - which seems to suggest greater upside); money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=intc $40 wouldn't be that far below the 200 week SMA which has only briefly been exceeded in the past 10 years.
A tech Company with a forward PE ratio of 11? I definitely want to know more. Yes, it has some problems - it wouldn't be a bargain if it didn't. But it invests twice as much on R&D as AMD and Nvidia combined, so while 'throwing money at a problem' isn't the most elegant of solutions, they will probably get there in the end. They are valued far far below their smaller competitors who have much less scale and far tighter margins. They are in the process of shifting away from lower growth segments to higher growth (AI, cloud computing, data centres, IOT), so its not all going to be smooth. There is a degree of uncertainty about its future product execution and the market isn't pricing in much good news. So, it has started to become attractive from a contrarian standpoint. I really think a few of the sellers last week will regret that decision if they don't take a position on the dip.
This seems to be a good "buy and forget" stock if you think we will need more and not less computing power in the future.
Yes my buy-zone is really narrow - so the chances of calling the bottom are quite small - but hey - sometimes you have to hang it out there in the breeze. That is where I will step in as a long-term buy and hold investor with a 3+ year time horizon. I will start to take profit after $80 - fingers crossed :P
Anyway, that's me, good luck everyone.
Trade closed manually
Had to sell about 3 weeks ago :/
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.