INTC in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on January 26, 2024 INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on January 26, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 33 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators) Bearish Trend Analysis The 10-day RSI Indicator for INTC moved out of overbought territory on January 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In 52 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on January 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on January 30, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +1.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 212 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings) The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.811) is normal, around the industry mean (8.080). P/E Ratio (16.010) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.211). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.161) is also within normal values, averaging (2.358). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.446) is also within normal values, averaging (73.071).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock worse than average.
The last earnings report on January 25 showed earnings per share of 54 cents, beating the estimate of 44 cents. With 47.34M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 184.37B.
A dividend of $0.12 per share will be paid with a record date of March 01, 2024, and an ex-dividend date of February 06, 2024. The last dividend of $0.12 was paid on December 01. The ex-dividend date is usually set several business days before the record date. If a stock is purchased on its ex-dividend date or after, the next dividend payment will not be received. Instead, the dividends are repossessed by to the seller. If the stocks are purchased before the ex-dividend date, the buyer will receive the dividends.
Notable companies The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NASDAQ:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI). Industry description The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau. Market Cap The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 31.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 1.12T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.12T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K. High and low price notable news The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. ASMXF experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while QUIK experienced the biggest fall at -18%. Volume The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 41%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 78% and the average quarterly volume growth was 38% Fundamental Analysis Ratings The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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