The Bank of Japan's (BOJ) expansionary monetary policy faces new challenges as the legacy of “Abenomics” clouds the path to an interest rate hike. With reflationary candidate Sanae Takaichi emerging as a key figure in the Liberal Democratic Party leadership race, expectations for tighter monetary policy are compromised. Takaichi openly opposes rate hikes, arguing that they could push Japan back into deflation.
This policy stance increases pressure on the BOJ, which had already softened its approach to future hikes due to U.S. recession risks and global uncertainty. Although Governor Kazuo Ueda has stressed the need to avoid deflation, political influence could delay key decisions, especially if Takaichi wins or gains an influential position in the new government. The outcome of this situation will be crucial for the direction of the Japanese economy.
Japanese stock markets were also affected by the economic uncertainty today, closing lower. The Nikkei 225 index closed down 0.25% on Wednesday, dragged down by declines in the gas, water, fishing and distribution sectors. Among the session's top stocks, Yaskawa Electric Corp. rose 5.59%, while Kyowa Kirin Co Ltd was the worst performer, falling 13.11%.
USD/JPY rose 0.19% to 143.49, reflecting the impact of political tensions and expectations about the BOJ's monetary policy.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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