Kadena breaking out for a +300% rally
Updated
KDA is up around 9% as of this writing and I think this move as a lot more to go. There is some resistance to cleared on the way up, as always, but ultimately I see a big multi-month move to $4.7.
A couple of months ago price action finally broke out of the green "falling wedge" and did a whole lot of sideways as strong hand accumulated. I use quotes for falling wedge because it has a bit to much white space as drawn. The Kadena project looks really promising and interesting so I am not surprised that buyers stepped up.
The indicator analysis is pretty simple. There is a lot of hidden bullish divergence on the weekly chart and I see that as being enough to get us to the 0.5 fib retracement level. We may even get over-performance to around the 0.786 but I shan't be greedy. I will be closing the margin around the 0.5 (4.7) target,
Kadena versus Bitcoin
One reason I foresee a longer term consolidation patter on KDAUSDT is the KDABTC chart. The log MACD is still way below zero on the weekly and there is a lot of resistance at the bold black line as well as the Keltner channels. KDABTC has about 33% to go until it faces the 2 standard deviation Keltner and I expect to see multi-month structure develop to get the price action strong enough to start to curve the channel upward.
No matter what KDAUSDT is doing once KDABTC gets to the top of the 2 std dev Keltner I will have to access if I want to close out my margin to make it available for a btc margin trade.
My entry and trade
I am rather pleased with this entry. I got in two days ago at 1.003
There is a chance that this structure could turn into an ascending triangle and there may be a stall at $1.414 If that is the case then price could return to my entry. If that is the case I will take what profit I can get manually and wait for an entry on the third low of the ascending triangle. This would push out my time table for the move by several months.
I don't want get to repetitive, but things are going to start to get crazy. Total2 is in a rising wedge and a move to the top of the wedge sees the market cap of altcoins hitting all time highs and going over 350%. There is even a chance it pops out of the wedge.
I got into this trade with just my left over equity in my margin account. I hope to close 75% of it at target and the balance is going to go into holdings. Twenty five percent is going to my living and the other 50% is going to be used to continue margin trading.
A couple of months ago price action finally broke out of the green "falling wedge" and did a whole lot of sideways as strong hand accumulated. I use quotes for falling wedge because it has a bit to much white space as drawn. The Kadena project looks really promising and interesting so I am not surprised that buyers stepped up.
The indicator analysis is pretty simple. There is a lot of hidden bullish divergence on the weekly chart and I see that as being enough to get us to the 0.5 fib retracement level. We may even get over-performance to around the 0.786 but I shan't be greedy. I will be closing the margin around the 0.5 (4.7) target,
Kadena versus Bitcoin
One reason I foresee a longer term consolidation patter on KDAUSDT is the KDABTC chart. The log MACD is still way below zero on the weekly and there is a lot of resistance at the bold black line as well as the Keltner channels. KDABTC has about 33% to go until it faces the 2 standard deviation Keltner and I expect to see multi-month structure develop to get the price action strong enough to start to curve the channel upward.
No matter what KDAUSDT is doing once KDABTC gets to the top of the 2 std dev Keltner I will have to access if I want to close out my margin to make it available for a btc margin trade.
My entry and trade
I am rather pleased with this entry. I got in two days ago at 1.003
There is a chance that this structure could turn into an ascending triangle and there may be a stall at $1.414 If that is the case then price could return to my entry. If that is the case I will take what profit I can get manually and wait for an entry on the third low of the ascending triangle. This would push out my time table for the move by several months.
I don't want get to repetitive, but things are going to start to get crazy. Total2 is in a rising wedge and a move to the top of the wedge sees the market cap of altcoins hitting all time highs and going over 350%. There is even a chance it pops out of the wedge.
I got into this trade with just my left over equity in my margin account. I hope to close 75% of it at target and the balance is going to go into holdings. Twenty five percent is going to my living and the other 50% is going to be used to continue margin trading.
Note
There has been some chop in the market and price came down to my entry and bounced off it. This is not unusual price action. Price was in a triangle and popped out of it and is now retesting previous resistance as support. I expect a lot of price compression between the 200 and the 20 and 50 with the 200 ultimately being flipped from resistance to support. My take profit is still at $4.7
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