Are Regional Banks Turning Higher?
Regional banks had a big surge in late 2023. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may expect further gains.
The first pattern on today’s chart of the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF is the falling trendline along the highs of January and early March. KRE is trying to clear that resistance, which may suggest a breakout is starting.
Second, price action has been very tight. Bollinger Bandwidth shows a potential volatility squeeze. Also notice how the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are less than 1 percent away from each other. Will this narrow range of movement give way to a period of price expansion?
Third, the 200-day SMA has been rising since late December. That may reflect incipient bullishness over the longer term.
Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed above the 21-day EMA. That may reflect bullishness over the shorter term.
Finally, the low in early February represented a 50 percent retracement of the move between October 27 and December 14. Holding that area may confirm direction is turning upward.
Standardized Performances for ETF mentioned above:
SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE):
1-year: +14.64%
5-years: -2.06%
10-years: +21.51%
(As of March 28, 2024)
Performance data shown reflects past performance and is no guarantee of future performance. The information provided is not meant to predict or project the performance of a specific investment or investment strategy and current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data shown. Accordingly, this information should not be relied upon when making an investment decision.
Exchange Traded Funds (“ETFs”) are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus.
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The first pattern on today’s chart of the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF is the falling trendline along the highs of January and early March. KRE is trying to clear that resistance, which may suggest a breakout is starting.
Second, price action has been very tight. Bollinger Bandwidth shows a potential volatility squeeze. Also notice how the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are less than 1 percent away from each other. Will this narrow range of movement give way to a period of price expansion?
Third, the 200-day SMA has been rising since late December. That may reflect incipient bullishness over the longer term.
Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed above the 21-day EMA. That may reflect bullishness over the shorter term.
Finally, the low in early February represented a 50 percent retracement of the move between October 27 and December 14. Holding that area may confirm direction is turning upward.
Standardized Performances for ETF mentioned above:
SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE):
1-year: +14.64%
5-years: -2.06%
10-years: +21.51%
(As of March 28, 2024)
Performance data shown reflects past performance and is no guarantee of future performance. The information provided is not meant to predict or project the performance of a specific investment or investment strategy and current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data shown. Accordingly, this information should not be relied upon when making an investment decision.
Exchange Traded Funds (“ETFs”) are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at https://www.TradeStation.com/DisclosureOptions. Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on https://www.TradeStation.com/Important-Information/. System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit [url =tradestation.com/DisclosureTSCompanies] TradeStation.com/DisclosureTSCompanies for further important information explaining what this means.
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