- The market is trading below a bearish trendline which took place at the beginning of April ; the mid-term trend is then bearish for the black gold.
- However, since the impact over $72.43, the LCrude has registered a sharp bullish price action, led by bull traders who managed to defend that zone as well as short-sellers who bought their short positions back.
The market has registered a rare V-bottom chart pattern, typically indicating a bullish reversal to come.
This scenario seems to be confirmed by the RSI indicator which already registered a bullish break-out, above its 50% level.
Meanwhile, both moving averages are also in a positive configuration following a bullish cross, the first one since the start of the mid-term bearish trend.
- Even if a clear signal from the market, given by a sharp bullish break-out of the mid-term bearish trendline is yet to come, this is seen as a bullish configuration for the market.
Indeed, the fact bull traders have now taken control of the market while US oil stockpiles have recently significantly decreased makes the possibility of bullish trend resurgence likely on a mid-term basis.
If the market manages to clear the $78.00 level, a new bullish potential towards $79.75, $81.50 and $84.00 would be unlocked.
Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at ActivTrades
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