LINK- Multi-time frame and fundamental/Macro analysis
Despite Link's fundamental shortcomings, we need to realize that crypto is driven partially by euphoric sentiment and market signal is often times, more important than macro signal, at least in the short run.
While the time of reckless speculation may be gone, we can't overlook the effect that DeFi craze and the resurgence of crypto bull market may have on the speculative behaviors. If you bought Link cheaply, congraztz and enjoy the ride. If you are like me, treat it as a deeply discounted swing buy opportunity like most cannabis stocks, just wait patiently until the price drop to the buy zone in my chart without taking on the excessive amount of risk. For short-term speculators, set the wide stoploss in order to avoid the stoploss hunt for over-leveraged longs and be prepared to take loss when the parabolic run ends and the trend line is broken.
Link is showing some technical weakness at 4hr time frame, but remains strong and trendy on the daily time frame.
Volume reached ATH yesterday and doesn't seem to be slowing down anytime soon.
Fundamental and Macro-
1. No clear timeline of Mainnet launch.
2. Unnecessary intermediary and permissioned structure run the risk of being labeled as security token by SEC (Why not just start the centralized oracle?). This argument has been valid for a long time and it is the reason why many investors prefer currency coins (specifically anon coins) and platform tokens over utility tokens.
3. According to Zeus capital, Link's marketcap is way bigger than the decentralized oracle's projected TAM. This can only be justified if TAM is rapidly growing, which isn't true as Link's clients are mostly DeFi platforms, or if LINK can capture nearly 100% of TAM. The latter is impossible as MakerDao, Compound, Uniswap and Coinbase are developing the internal alternatives. Not to mention many centralized lenders such as Genesis and Nexo that indirectly affect Link's value proposition and user case.
Don't forget to follow me and like the post. Much appreciated!
While the time of reckless speculation may be gone, we can't overlook the effect that DeFi craze and the resurgence of crypto bull market may have on the speculative behaviors. If you bought Link cheaply, congraztz and enjoy the ride. If you are like me, treat it as a deeply discounted swing buy opportunity like most cannabis stocks, just wait patiently until the price drop to the buy zone in my chart without taking on the excessive amount of risk. For short-term speculators, set the wide stoploss in order to avoid the stoploss hunt for over-leveraged longs and be prepared to take loss when the parabolic run ends and the trend line is broken.
Link is showing some technical weakness at 4hr time frame, but remains strong and trendy on the daily time frame.
Volume reached ATH yesterday and doesn't seem to be slowing down anytime soon.
Fundamental and Macro-
1. No clear timeline of Mainnet launch.
2. Unnecessary intermediary and permissioned structure run the risk of being labeled as security token by SEC (Why not just start the centralized oracle?). This argument has been valid for a long time and it is the reason why many investors prefer currency coins (specifically anon coins) and platform tokens over utility tokens.
3. According to Zeus capital, Link's marketcap is way bigger than the decentralized oracle's projected TAM. This can only be justified if TAM is rapidly growing, which isn't true as Link's clients are mostly DeFi platforms, or if LINK can capture nearly 100% of TAM. The latter is impossible as MakerDao, Compound, Uniswap and Coinbase are developing the internal alternatives. Not to mention many centralized lenders such as Genesis and Nexo that indirectly affect Link's value proposition and user case.
Don't forget to follow me and like the post. Much appreciated!
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