Despite support on the 200-day twice now, the 617% move between May 1st and July 1st 2019 was very unhealthy due to the short-term explosive growth. We have already retraced to the 76.4% fib retrace level, and price is now trying to hold support at the golden ratio 61.8% fib level.
If we close below the 61.8% level on the monthly and/or weekly chart, that will mean a high probability of coming back down to the 76.4% level. This would form the beginings of a descending triangle pattern, which of course means bearish movement ahead, but only if the price doesn't go directly down to the 100% retrace level first.
This is no guarantee of course, but if we have that 50/200 day death cross, price below the 200-day as well, and the 200-day angled downward... these are basically the definition of a bear market. So keep an eye on those things!
Note
Link behaved as expected. Now, we are in the process of forming a strong likelihood of reversal. we will definitely go up to the 50% fib retrace for at least a moment in the near future. It might be time to buy soon.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.