MATIC → Polygon Pullback to $0.35 then $0.70? Let's Answer.
Since my February 3rd update, MATIC has remained in a trading range, as expected. We found resistance at $1.25 and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on MATIC?
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, MATIC found resistance at the Resistance Zone of $1.25 after two pushes up in the trading range followed by two legs down, leaving us below the Support Zone at a low of $0.50. We now see the price finding support in this area, and it has yet to show signs of strength.
It's not reasonable to enter a long here given that we lack a strong bullish candle close. We need to wait for a strong candle at this support area, but I believe it's more likely we will fall to the triangle low of around $0.31. Look for a signal and confirmation candle in this area then enter a long. Once that target is hit, take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:2 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in MATIC.
A final point of data is the RSI low and above the moving average of around 37.00. This indicates we are into the swing high and a long entry at this stage is warranted.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.40
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.27
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.53
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.66
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two legs up toward a resistance zone in a triangle
2. Resistance met at $1.25, two legs back toward the triangle low
3. Look for a break below the triangle to the triangle low
4. Long entry justified after strong bull candle close near triangle low
5. RSI at 37.00 and below the moving average. Supports a long entry
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, MATIC found resistance at the Resistance Zone of $1.25 after two pushes up in the trading range followed by two legs down, leaving us below the Support Zone at a low of $0.50. We now see the price finding support in this area, and it has yet to show signs of strength.
It's not reasonable to enter a long here given that we lack a strong bullish candle close. We need to wait for a strong candle at this support area, but I believe it's more likely we will fall to the triangle low of around $0.31. Look for a signal and confirmation candle in this area then enter a long. Once that target is hit, take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:2 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in MATIC.
A final point of data is the RSI low and above the moving average of around 37.00. This indicates we are into the swing high and a long entry at this stage is warranted.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.40
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.27
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.53
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.66
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two legs up toward a resistance zone in a triangle
2. Resistance met at $1.25, two legs back toward the triangle low
3. Look for a break below the triangle to the triangle low
4. Long entry justified after strong bull candle close near triangle low
5. RSI at 37.00 and below the moving average. Supports a long entry
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
-Joe Dean
Trader Engineering Course
**Available Now at TraderEngineering.com**
Trader Engineering Course
**Available Now at TraderEngineering.com**
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.