META
Current Price: $465.20
1-Month Move: +4.8% (from $443.90)
1-Year Move: +35.7% (from $342.80)
Year High/Low: $527.30/$328.50
Technicals:
RSI: ~67.4 (nearing overbought)
Above 20-day MA, slightly below 50-day MA, above 200-day MA (short-term rally in a longer uptrend)
Options Data:
IV Rank: 85th percentile (high premiums)
Put/Call Ratio: 1.15 (bearish skew)
Max Pain: $450.00
High OI: $460 puts, $470 calls
Historical & Model Insights
Historical Move: META averages ~14.5% post-earnings, with 5/12 quarters showing downside.
IV Crush: Expect 30–40% IV drop post-earnings, so time exits carefully.
Outlier: Llama/Meta sees bullish potential from call activity and AI-driven ad growth, but bearish signals dominate.
Trade Setup
Strategy: Single-leg, naked put (bearish, defined risk)
Instrument: META
Direction: PUT
Strike: $460.00 (premium $0.72, fits $0.50–$1.00 target band)
Expiry: 2025-05-02 (first weekly post-earnings)
Entry Price: $0.72
Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close (2025-05-01)
Profit Target: $1.44 (~100% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.36 (~50% loss)
Confidence: 65%
Expected Move: ±$68.20 (~14.66%)
Current Price: $465.20
1-Month Move: +4.8% (from $443.90)
1-Year Move: +35.7% (from $342.80)
Year High/Low: $527.30/$328.50
Technicals:
RSI: ~67.4 (nearing overbought)
Above 20-day MA, slightly below 50-day MA, above 200-day MA (short-term rally in a longer uptrend)
Options Data:
IV Rank: 85th percentile (high premiums)
Put/Call Ratio: 1.15 (bearish skew)
Max Pain: $450.00
High OI: $460 puts, $470 calls
Historical & Model Insights
Historical Move: META averages ~14.5% post-earnings, with 5/12 quarters showing downside.
IV Crush: Expect 30–40% IV drop post-earnings, so time exits carefully.
Outlier: Llama/Meta sees bullish potential from call activity and AI-driven ad growth, but bearish signals dominate.
Trade Setup
Strategy: Single-leg, naked put (bearish, defined risk)
Instrument: META
Direction: PUT
Strike: $460.00 (premium $0.72, fits $0.50–$1.00 target band)
Expiry: 2025-05-02 (first weekly post-earnings)
Entry Price: $0.72
Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close (2025-05-01)
Profit Target: $1.44 (~100% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.36 (~50% loss)
Confidence: 65%
Expected Move: ±$68.20 (~14.66%)
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.