7/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: 
META
Still a buy sub $1k/shr
- reality is, why would you bet against zuck
- his platforms are hitting on all strides. he is willing to internally build the best AI when he's falling behind by hiring the best talent and it is a LOT cheaper to hire for collectively $500 mm than say pay billions for a developed product and internalize it. great move Zuck!
- and their ad tools are second to none and don't suffer as much from "Google search" narrative as the ecosystem is one of those that's incrementally chipping away from Google.
- at mid 20s + PE, the stock is not "cheap" but it's actually quite affordable for the environment we're in
- some market POV: I think we've seen the "garden variety" pullback already. believe it or not... when you look at the individual names from recent highs, we've seen a lil 3 to 10% shuffle and not all on the same day (take for instance the TSLA dip the other day, large, and not on a day where nasdaq or other Mag7's were red).
- i continue to see small caps failing on large cap peers
- i see more money still floating lager caps higher at the expense of small caps, even tho it might look the opposite in the immediate term (this is a story as old as time... newbs chase quick thrills, get squashed and can afford less of the assets they should be buying to begin with). so word to the wise: if you've made some nice tendies lately on slightly more degen plays... buying stuff like Mag7's or even indices at highs is not necessarily a "bad" buy.
- anyway i likeMETA at sub $1k and sub 35x PE into the print
- would like to own more, so would be buying dips
- but think this is a winner in 2H
V
METAStill a buy sub $1k/shr
- reality is, why would you bet against zuck
- his platforms are hitting on all strides. he is willing to internally build the best AI when he's falling behind by hiring the best talent and it is a LOT cheaper to hire for collectively $500 mm than say pay billions for a developed product and internalize it. great move Zuck!
- and their ad tools are second to none and don't suffer as much from "Google search" narrative as the ecosystem is one of those that's incrementally chipping away from Google.
- at mid 20s + PE, the stock is not "cheap" but it's actually quite affordable for the environment we're in
- some market POV: I think we've seen the "garden variety" pullback already. believe it or not... when you look at the individual names from recent highs, we've seen a lil 3 to 10% shuffle and not all on the same day (take for instance the TSLA dip the other day, large, and not on a day where nasdaq or other Mag7's were red).
- i continue to see small caps failing on large cap peers
- i see more money still floating lager caps higher at the expense of small caps, even tho it might look the opposite in the immediate term (this is a story as old as time... newbs chase quick thrills, get squashed and can afford less of the assets they should be buying to begin with). so word to the wise: if you've made some nice tendies lately on slightly more degen plays... buying stuff like Mag7's or even indices at highs is not necessarily a "bad" buy.
- anyway i like
META at sub $1k and sub 35x PE into the print- would like to own more, so would be buying dips
- but think this is a winner in 2H
V
Trade active
with those retail sales #s... amazon prime day... a friend's comments talking about spending (and he has some good ground level insights)... nike reporting "less bad" results etc. etc. and then you have the possible hoarding of spending in mar/apr as market tanks... then rebounds (so people catch back up)... stock ATH... i'd have to think META is going to report great results here and the dip is a good opptyeven three-car-monte cvna might have a good quarter lmfao.
i think mkt is probably concerned about how fast grok 4/ elon are moving on AI front and how much mark is spending for talent. but realistically... he's spending peanuts vs meta's FCF moat. and their real world data probably rivals google, tsla, msft... only a handful of companies. so that AI will get monetized v v quickly on their several 1B user platforms
but all considered, meta looks like good beta here into their results. if we get a miss/ dip... i'll size it up (2-3x) and if it rips... great.
V
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.