NFP looming - Stuck in the middle

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If you cannot define exactly what you are doing in the market—what you’re risking, why you’re entering, and where you’re wrong—then you aren’t trading, you’re guessing. Precision is not optional; it’s the barrier between strategy and self-deception.


📌 Liquidity & Market Structure

Currently, market structure and liquidity are at odds—common behavior leading into major data events like NFP. As liquidity thins, price action can become erratic before the release.

A pennant-like formation is developing, but this isn’t a decisive factor in my approach—it provides context, shaping how I navigate the environment.

These conditions can easily catch traders off guard. Even a well-executed trade can fail if trade context and market context are misaligned.

📌 Important Note:
We may need to come lower on the daily or weekly timeframe to establish liquidity before any sustained move higher. NFP could act as the catalyst for this.



📈 Intraday Volatility Outlook

As volume picks up periodically, we could see strong intraday volatility.

The key question:
🔹 Will we see an early move lower before NFP, followed by a continuation higher?
🔹 Or will the market remain in positioning mode until the release?



🎯 Trading Approach

As traders, our job is to respond, not react. The goal is to adapt to liquidity shifts and execution flow rather than forcing a bias.

⚡ Let’s see how the market unfolds.

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