Most of the research is on the page but I'll explain it briefly.
The past two clear trends have shown four swing highs before a break (up/down is irrelevant) - the current bearish trend has only seen three swing highs so far.
The RSI of the market is low, which usually foreshadows a bullish movement, if you want to argue that the swing high at $84.70 also counts as a swing high in our current bearish trend, then we are just about due for a bullish sprint.
I personally don't think we've seen enough swing lows (see previous bear trend) for a momentum break, especially considering that the current trend has the change in CEO & financial report as a catalyst whereas the previous one simply had the financial statement creating momentum.