Market Context 
MSFT
Current Price: $428.50
1-Month Move: +6.2% (from $403.20)
1-Year Move: +28.4% (from $333.80)
Year High/Low: $468.35/$309.45
Technicals:
RSI: ~63.2 (neutral, approaching overbought)
Above 20-day and 50-day MAs, slightly below 200-day MA (short-term strength in a longer uptrend)
Options Data:
IV Rank: 68th percentile (elevated premiums)
Put/Call Ratio: 0.85 (slightly bullish skew)
Max Pain: $415.00
High OI: $420 calls, $400 puts
Historical & Model Insights
Historical Move: MSFT averages ~5.8% post-earnings, with 7/12 quarters showing upside.
IV Crush: Expect 25–35% IV drop post-earnings, so plan exits carefully.
Model Consensus (Grok, Claude, Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek): Moderately Bullish
Why? Strong AI/cloud growth narrative, consistent guidance beats, and call-heavy OI at $420–425. Max Pain at $415 suggests limited downside pull.
Outlier: Gemini flags macro risks and Max Pain gravity, leaning neutral but not bearish.
Trade Setup
Strategy: Single-leg, naked call (bullish, defined risk)
Instrument: MSFT
Direction: Call
Strike: $435.00 (premium $0.75, fits $0.50–$1.00 target band)
Expiry: 2025-05-02 (first weekly post-earnings)
Entry Price: $0.75
Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close (2025-04-30)
Profit Target: $1.50 (~100% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.38 (~50% loss)
Confidence: 70%
Expected Move: ±$24.90 (~5.8%)
BEST AI Signals in the market
MSFT Current Price: $428.50
1-Month Move: +6.2% (from $403.20)
1-Year Move: +28.4% (from $333.80)
Year High/Low: $468.35/$309.45
Technicals:
RSI: ~63.2 (neutral, approaching overbought)
Above 20-day and 50-day MAs, slightly below 200-day MA (short-term strength in a longer uptrend)
Options Data:
IV Rank: 68th percentile (elevated premiums)
Put/Call Ratio: 0.85 (slightly bullish skew)
Max Pain: $415.00
High OI: $420 calls, $400 puts
Historical & Model Insights
Historical Move: MSFT averages ~5.8% post-earnings, with 7/12 quarters showing upside.
IV Crush: Expect 25–35% IV drop post-earnings, so plan exits carefully.
Model Consensus (Grok, Claude, Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek): Moderately Bullish
Why? Strong AI/cloud growth narrative, consistent guidance beats, and call-heavy OI at $420–425. Max Pain at $415 suggests limited downside pull.
Outlier: Gemini flags macro risks and Max Pain gravity, leaning neutral but not bearish.
Trade Setup
Strategy: Single-leg, naked call (bullish, defined risk)
Instrument: MSFT
Direction: Call
Strike: $435.00 (premium $0.75, fits $0.50–$1.00 target band)
Expiry: 2025-05-02 (first weekly post-earnings)
Entry Price: $0.75
Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close (2025-04-30)
Profit Target: $1.50 (~100% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.38 (~50% loss)
Confidence: 70%
Expected Move: ±$24.90 (~5.8%)
BEST AI Signals in the market
Trade closed: target reached
Another W
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.