📊 MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) – Technical & Simple Fundamental Analysis
1️⃣ Technical Analysis
🔍 Overall Trend Analysis
Long-term uptrend remains intact, but the stock is currently in a pullback phase from its $500 peak.
Testing 50-day EMA support ($238.91) – a key level for bulls to defend.
Short-term momentum is bearish, with declining RSI and a bearish MACD crossover.
📌 Key Levels
✅ Support Zones:
$230 - $240 → Testing 50-day EMA, crucial support.
$180 - $200 → Stronger demand zone if $230 fails.
$120 - $140 → Near 200-day EMA ($118.00), deeper correction level.
Below $120 → Supports at $100, $80, $60, $40 (historical levels).
🚀 Resistance Zones:
$280 - $300 → Immediate resistance after rejection.
$340 - $360 → Next resistance from recent peaks.
$420 - $500 → All-time high resistance.
📉 Indicators & Volume
📊 Moving Averages:
9-day EMA: $297.18 (short-term resistance).
20-day EMA: $297.58 (confirming short-term bearish trend).
50-day EMA: $238.91 (being tested as support).
200-day EMA: $118.00 (long-term uptrend remains intact).
📉 RSI (43.94) → Approaching oversold territory.
📉 MACD → Bearish crossover, showing downward momentum increasing.
📊 Volume → Selling volume increasing, but not extreme yet.
🔭 What to Watch Next (Technical)
✅ Bullish case: Price holds $230-$240 & reclaims $280.
⚠️ Bearish case: Break below $230 → Potential drop to $200 or lower.
2️⃣ Fundamental Analysis
MSTR (Simplified)
📌 Revenue: $57.53M (-3% YoY), Net Loss: -$670.8M in Q4 2024.
📌 Bitcoin Holdings: 478,740 BTC (~$45.1B market value, acquired for $31.1 billion).
📌 Capital Raising: Issuing $21B in preferred securities to fund further Bitcoin purchases.
📌 Stock Performance: Down last 3 months
📌 Workforce Cuts: Laid off 20.7% of employees in 2024.
📌 Rebranding: Now officially called "Strategy", symbolizing its Bitcoin-focused direction.
🔭 What to Watch Next (Fundamental)
✅ Bitcoin price movement – heavily influences MSTR.
✅ Earnings improvements – need to reduce losses.
✅ Institutional buying trends – support or sell-off?
🔥 Final Thoughts: MSTR is at a critical support zone. If Bitcoin remains strong, a bounce is possible. However, a breakdown below $230 could trigger deeper downside. 🚀📊
1️⃣ Technical Analysis
🔍 Overall Trend Analysis
Long-term uptrend remains intact, but the stock is currently in a pullback phase from its $500 peak.
Testing 50-day EMA support ($238.91) – a key level for bulls to defend.
Short-term momentum is bearish, with declining RSI and a bearish MACD crossover.
📌 Key Levels
✅ Support Zones:
$230 - $240 → Testing 50-day EMA, crucial support.
$180 - $200 → Stronger demand zone if $230 fails.
$120 - $140 → Near 200-day EMA ($118.00), deeper correction level.
Below $120 → Supports at $100, $80, $60, $40 (historical levels).
🚀 Resistance Zones:
$280 - $300 → Immediate resistance after rejection.
$340 - $360 → Next resistance from recent peaks.
$420 - $500 → All-time high resistance.
📉 Indicators & Volume
📊 Moving Averages:
9-day EMA: $297.18 (short-term resistance).
20-day EMA: $297.58 (confirming short-term bearish trend).
50-day EMA: $238.91 (being tested as support).
200-day EMA: $118.00 (long-term uptrend remains intact).
📉 RSI (43.94) → Approaching oversold territory.
📉 MACD → Bearish crossover, showing downward momentum increasing.
📊 Volume → Selling volume increasing, but not extreme yet.
🔭 What to Watch Next (Technical)
✅ Bullish case: Price holds $230-$240 & reclaims $280.
⚠️ Bearish case: Break below $230 → Potential drop to $200 or lower.
2️⃣ Fundamental Analysis
MSTR (Simplified)📌 Revenue: $57.53M (-3% YoY), Net Loss: -$670.8M in Q4 2024.
📌 Bitcoin Holdings: 478,740 BTC (~$45.1B market value, acquired for $31.1 billion).
📌 Capital Raising: Issuing $21B in preferred securities to fund further Bitcoin purchases.
📌 Stock Performance: Down last 3 months
📌 Workforce Cuts: Laid off 20.7% of employees in 2024.
📌 Rebranding: Now officially called "Strategy", symbolizing its Bitcoin-focused direction.
🔭 What to Watch Next (Fundamental)
✅ Bitcoin price movement – heavily influences MSTR.
✅ Earnings improvements – need to reduce losses.
✅ Institutional buying trends – support or sell-off?
🔥 Final Thoughts: MSTR is at a critical support zone. If Bitcoin remains strong, a bounce is possible. However, a breakdown below $230 could trigger deeper downside. 🚀📊
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.