MU, 14 Jan. Breakout of the Decade?
Micron has reached $97 on 17 Jul 2000, right before the dot-com crash. We are now back to exactly $97 (the blue line), for the second time, forming a gigantic cup (and handle) pattern. Look at the weekly chart to see it.
With such an epic pattern, the question is if we can position ourselves for a potentially large breakout.
Geometry:
Price has formed a bullish descending broadening wedge (green lines) and broke above it.
Oscillators:
RSI shows a bearish divergence, Stochastic is due to retrace.
Volume:
Vol is declining, suggesting that the uptrend is stalling.
Moving Averages:
The 20 week MA is approaching 80, the 50 EMA is at 85, potential supports.
How to trade it:
The fact that price approached the resistance for a second time seems promising for a large breakout. The problem is that we do not see a clear handle on the weekly chart. In the worst case, we will get a multi-year handle-forming chopfest.
Oscillators suggest that price needs further consolidation. The idea is to test longs at $94, and around $85, where the 38.2% retracement meets the incoming 20 week MA, and the trend line. Look for Stoch/RSI to be oversold. The expectations of a great earnings result (and the earnings itself) could be the catalyst for the breakout. The idea may not work if price falls below the green support line at $85.
With such an epic pattern, the question is if we can position ourselves for a potentially large breakout.
Geometry:
Price has formed a bullish descending broadening wedge (green lines) and broke above it.
Oscillators:
RSI shows a bearish divergence, Stochastic is due to retrace.
Volume:
Vol is declining, suggesting that the uptrend is stalling.
Moving Averages:
The 20 week MA is approaching 80, the 50 EMA is at 85, potential supports.
How to trade it:
The fact that price approached the resistance for a second time seems promising for a large breakout. The problem is that we do not see a clear handle on the weekly chart. In the worst case, we will get a multi-year handle-forming chopfest.
Oscillators suggest that price needs further consolidation. The idea is to test longs at $94, and around $85, where the 38.2% retracement meets the incoming 20 week MA, and the trend line. Look for Stoch/RSI to be oversold. The expectations of a great earnings result (and the earnings itself) could be the catalyst for the breakout. The idea may not work if price falls below the green support line at $85.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.