Undervalued MU
Target: 129
Run: ATH
Trade compound: $85 - $76
Info;
Nestled in the heart of the semiconductor industry, Micron Technology Inc. has carved out a discerning path marked by innovation and resilience. Founded in 1978, Micron has methodically grown its footprint to become a leading producer of memory and storage solutions. It primarily manufactures DRAM, NAND, and NOR memory, vital components in a multitude of digital devices and data centers that fuel the modern economy. These components are essential for everything from personal computing and smartphones to the vast expanses of cloud infrastructure, making Micron an integral player in technological advancement. The company's steady march forward is buoyed by its deep investments in research and development, enabling it to stay at the forefront of industry trends and consumer demands.
The mechanics of Micron's business are predicated on its ability to efficiently produce and distribute these high-precision memory solutions across global markets. The company earns its revenue by providing these components to a diverse array of end markets, including automotive, mobile, and enterprise sectors. This diversity acts as a buffer against volatility in any single market segment, illustrating a strategy that echoes the prudent philosophies of economic moats and competitive advantages. Micron’s operational prowess is also characterized by its strategic partnerships and alliances, which bolster its supply chain and technological capabilities. As data becomes the new oil, Micron's role in supporting advanced computing applications, artificial intelligence, and increasingly data-centric industries places it on a promising trajectory in the digital age.
Fundamentals:
The intrinsic value of one MU stock under the Base Case scenario is 129.52 USD. Compared to the current market price of 86.36 USD, Micron Technology Inc is Undervalued by 33%.
Technicals:
Weekly: Overall negative (short-term positive)
Daily: Strongly positive
4h: slightly positive
30min: Bullish
Run: ATH
Trade compound: $85 - $76
Info;
Nestled in the heart of the semiconductor industry, Micron Technology Inc. has carved out a discerning path marked by innovation and resilience. Founded in 1978, Micron has methodically grown its footprint to become a leading producer of memory and storage solutions. It primarily manufactures DRAM, NAND, and NOR memory, vital components in a multitude of digital devices and data centers that fuel the modern economy. These components are essential for everything from personal computing and smartphones to the vast expanses of cloud infrastructure, making Micron an integral player in technological advancement. The company's steady march forward is buoyed by its deep investments in research and development, enabling it to stay at the forefront of industry trends and consumer demands.
The mechanics of Micron's business are predicated on its ability to efficiently produce and distribute these high-precision memory solutions across global markets. The company earns its revenue by providing these components to a diverse array of end markets, including automotive, mobile, and enterprise sectors. This diversity acts as a buffer against volatility in any single market segment, illustrating a strategy that echoes the prudent philosophies of economic moats and competitive advantages. Micron’s operational prowess is also characterized by its strategic partnerships and alliances, which bolster its supply chain and technological capabilities. As data becomes the new oil, Micron's role in supporting advanced computing applications, artificial intelligence, and increasingly data-centric industries places it on a promising trajectory in the digital age.
- Micron Technology Inc. maintains several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the semiconductor industry:
- Intellectual Property and Technological Innovation: Micron is known for its strong portfolio of patents and consistent innovation in memory and storage solutions. They have a robust R&D program that allows them to frequently bring advanced technologies to market.
- Vertical Integration: Micron benefits from vertical integration, allowing them to control various stages of production, from design to manufacturing. This integration helps optimize costs, enhance quality control, and ensure a steady supply of key components.
- Product Portfolio Diversity: Micron offers a diverse range of products, including DRAM, NAND, and NOR memory technologies. This variety helps cater to different market needs and provides resilience against market fluctuations in specific product lines.
- Advanced Manufacturing Facilities: Micron has state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities often coupled with strategic partnerships, which enable them to produce cutting-edge technology efficiently. This also facilitates rapid scaling of production to meet demand.
- Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: Through alliances with other technology companies and research institutions, Micron accelerates innovation and gains access to new technologies and markets. These collaborations can provide competitive access to emerging trends and pathways.
- Strong Customer Relationships: With extensive experience and expertise, Micron has built strong relationships with leading technology firms across various sectors such as consumer electronics, automotive, data centers, and mobile devices. These partnerships provide stable revenue streams and insights into market needs.
Fundamentals:
The intrinsic value of one MU stock under the Base Case scenario is 129.52 USD. Compared to the current market price of 86.36 USD, Micron Technology Inc is Undervalued by 33%.
- Wall Street Target: $133.61
- Estimates Growth: 23% in 2025
- Operating Income Forcase: From 1B to 12B in 2025
- Net Income: 2025 estimated 10B
- Solvency Score: 70/100
- Current shareholder yield for MU is -1.02%.
- During the last 12 months Micron Technology Inc insiders have not bought any shares, and sold 46m USD worth of shares. The last transaction was made on Dec 20, 2024 by Arnzen April S , who sold 416.7k USD worth of MU shares.
Technicals:
Weekly: Overall negative (short-term positive)
Daily: Strongly positive
4h: slightly positive
30min: Bullish
Note
SP500 and MU correlation is 0.44 and I will wait a little bit to see the reclaim of vwap and as it currently looks bearish with its head and shoulder structure and technicals too. Note
I will enter the trade tomorrow :) as we reclaimed the vwapNote
I am waiting for a short-term price correction to enter the trade, as I did not expect a 10% increase in the aftermarket over the weekend. Trade active
Note
I have added more positions, and the target remains the same at 129. The reason for adding more to the positions is that we have filled the gap, are at the VWAP and Fibonacci levels, and are showing a positive price reaction.
Trade closed: stop reached
I entered the trade too late and sp500 is scared of trump tariffs Note
we are looking for a trade around 90 for best case trade
Note
Note
We are still going there
Daily bullish
Weekly bullish
4- Divergence possible correction
30min bearish
so compound here in case we see strength at the vwap.
Note
It also hast the potential to up to 250$ so I will not close all my position Note
MU is looking good frist take profit hit and reducing risk
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.