Hello Traders and welcome back to another Video analysis. We break down the relationship amongst different asset classes when gauging market sentiment. In particular, how to analyze market direction on the Nasdaq 100 by looking at the Volatility and Dollar Indexes. We combine this sentiment analysis with candlesticks, and how they leave clues for us when anticipating market direction.
If you aren't familar, the Dollar Index represents the strength or weakness of the USD against a basket of 4 currencies. The Euro, Yen, Aud, and the Gbp. The US dollar is the safe haven of the world and when it increases in value, this represents risk off sentiment as investors and market particpants look to preserve the value of thier monies. On the other hand, the Nasdaq is a stock index, and therefore represents an asset class where investors are looking to grow their capital. In theory, they should be inversely correlated and generally are, thereby giving us clues when anticipating market movements in one another. In this example, we look at how we can use the (DXY) dollar index when anticipating market movements in the Nasdaq 100 stock index.
The Vix or Volatility Index represents the options market for the S&P500 stocks. When the Vix goes up this equates to investors and market participants buying puts and anticipating future downside for the S&P 500 stock index. When the Vix goes down, this represents anticipated upside in the U.S. stock indexes by investors and market particpants buying calls in the options market.
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