US 100 Cash CFDLong
$FX:NAS100 long update
NAS1001. Market Context:
• The NAS100 chart shows a recovery phase following a sharp “flash sale” (a sudden drop in price).
• The Christmas rally pushed prices upward, indicating increased buying interest during the holiday season.
2. Liquidity and Demand:
• Price revisited a demand zone, suggesting that institutions or retail traders had pending buy orders in that area.
• The chart notes dark pool liquidity, where institutional buyers/sellers might have been active, hidden from retail traders.
3. Resistance Formation:
• After bouncing back from the demand zone, the price faced resistance, possibly near a Fibonacci retracement or order block level.
• This might suggest sellers gaining control temporarily.
4. Strategic Insights:
• Buyers are defending the demand zone, showing a bullish bias for continuation.
• Resistance at higher levels signals caution for long positions until confirmation of a breakout.
1. Key Levels to Monitor
• Support Zone:
• The demand zone near 21,250–21,300 (highlighted yellow) represents a critical support area.
• Buyers have shown interest here, as evident from the price bounce. If the price revisits this zone, watch for bullish reactions or potential breakdowns.
• Resistance Levels:
• The inner sell-side liquidity (SSL) marked near 21,876 aligns with a significant swing high and could attract sellers.
• Above this, a stronger resistance level appears around 22,100–22,200, aligning with the psychological round number and previous liquidity pool.
2. Fibonacci Insights
• The 50% retracement level (21,561) acts as a mid-level pivot point.
• A bounce off this level earlier suggests it remains a point of interest for bulls.
• However, failure to reclaim this level could lead to a deeper retracement to test the demand zone again.
3. Potential Bullish Scenario
• If the price breaks above 21,876 (inner SSL), the bullish momentum could target:
• 22,000 (key psychological level)
• 22,200 (outer SSL and strong resistance)
4. Bearish Scenario
• A failure to sustain above the 21,561 pivot may trigger:
• A retest of the demand zone (21,250).
• A deeper push towards 21,160 (Fibonacci 50% retracement of the larger downtrend).
5. Dark Pool Liquidity
• Given the mention of dark pool liquidity, these levels may contain institutional activity.
• Demand zones below could see renewed buying pressure if liquidity was not fully absorbed earlier.
• Resistance zones above might see hidden selling pressure as institutions secure profits.
Bullish Scenarios (Buying Opportunities):
1. Rejection and Bounce from Demand Zone (21,250–21,300)
• Entry Criteria:
• Price forms bullish rejection (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle) at the demand zone.
• Confirmation via lower timeframe bullish structure or volume increase.
• Stop-Loss: Below the swing low, around 21,190–21,200 (to avoid being stopped out by wicks).
• Take-Profit Targets:
1. 21,561: Closest resistance and Fibonacci 50% retracement.
2. 21,876: Inner sell-side liquidity (SSL).
3. 22,100–22,200: Outer SSL and psychological level.
2. Breakout Above Inner SSL (21,876)
• Entry Criteria:
• Price breaks and closes above 21,876 with momentum.
• Look for a pullback to retest the broken level as support.
• Stop-Loss: Below the breakout candle or pullback low.
• Take-Profit Targets:
1. 22,100: Immediate target aligned with psychological resistance.
2. 22,200–22,250: Extended target where outer SSL lies.
Bearish Scenarios (Selling Opportunities):
1. Rejection from Inner SSL (21,876)
• Entry Criteria:
• Price forms a bearish reversal pattern (e.g., double top, engulfing candle) at 21,876.
• Confirmation via lower timeframe bearish structure.
• Stop-Loss: Above the swing high at 21,900–21,950.
• Take-Profit Targets:
1. 21,561: Fibonacci pivot level and mid-range support.
2. 21,300–21,250: Demand zone and key support area.
2. Break Below Demand Zone (21,250)
• Entry Criteria:
• Price breaks and closes below 21,250, signaling bearish continuation.
• Retest of the broken demand zone as resistance offers a better entry.
• Stop-Loss: Above the retest high or broken level, around 21,300–21,350.
• Take-Profit Targets:
1. 21,160: Fibonacci 50% level of the larger structure.
2. 20,900–20,755: Previous liquidity zone and significant support.
Neutral (Range-Bound Trading) Scenario
If price remains between 21,561 (mid-level) and 21,876 (inner SSL):
• Scalping Opportunities: Buy at 21,561 support, sell near 21,876 resistance.
• Avoid taking aggressive trades until a breakout confirms directional bias.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.