Nasdaq Hits Double Top Target – What's Next?

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Amid declining economic confidence and economic growth forecasts, stimulated by expanding trade wars, the Nasdaq has reached the double top pattern target formed between the December 2024 and February 2025 peaks at 19,100.

This level also aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend from the August 2024 low (17,230) to the February 2025 high (22,245).

The 19,000 barrier holds significant technical weight, as it coincides with:

  • The golden Fibonacci ratio and the double top pattern target.
  • Oversold conditions on the daily RSI, previously seen in August 2024 and dating back to similar levels in 2022 on the 3-day time frame.


Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Downside Risk: If market turbulence intensifies and the Nasdaq drops below 19,000, the next key level is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement at 18,300, with potential interim support at 18,700.

🔺 Upside Potential: If markets respond to oversold momentum conditions, a break above the short-term resistance at 19,700 could trigger rallies toward 20,000, 20,300, 20,700, and 21,000. A strong hold above 21,000 could extend bullish momentum back toward record highs.

Key Events to Watch:
  • US PPI Data (Today)
  • US-Canada Trade War Developments
  • US Consumer Sentiment Report (Friday)


- Razan Hilal, CMT

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