FA Analysis:
1- We have two forces (Trump's team, policy and tweets and the FED) as market movers.
2- Trump's Team: Maintaining the UNCERTAINTY
- Minimum tariffs is 10% which is at least 500% of the original tariffs.
- Have a clear strategy: One screaming very high and the other one, the nice guy, offers 10-25% tariffs
- All the deals won't be binding deals; so they might change at any time. So uncertainty is still there.
- It's all about PR and looking good and winning
- Market understands very well what is happening. Market sees the 10% tariffs as a huge barrier.
=) So all what Trump is doing, including the final/big deals, are bad for stocks and equities.
3- The FED:
- Last FED did not provide any hint about June rate cut. FED is data related.
- Last macro-economic data did not help the FED Rate cut. Hence, the upcoming data is very relevant.
- This week, we have key inflation data: CPI and PPI. Higher Inflation data means NO June Cut which is very bad for stocks and equities. Inline and lower inflation data will help FED Cut which is good for stocks and equities.
=) From now on, Good macro-economic data is bad for stocks and equities and vice-versa.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
- From weekly perspective, we got a bullish weekly candle than closed inside a bullish candle.
- Price seems exhausted and toppish. There is no need to go further up. But in any case, the chart shows two higher levels that price might reach in the case of bad economic data.
Daily TF:
- Friday candle was unable to close above the latest HH.
- Price always closed inside the consolidation area.
- Price will test the previous swing low (highlighted by a circle) in case Monday or US-China talks does not close above the latest HH.
=) From weekly and daily TF, NQ should go south.
Wish you a green week Everyone! GL!
(Note: I won't be around this week beside quick in and out; So I won't post most likely)
1- We have two forces (Trump's team, policy and tweets and the FED) as market movers.
2- Trump's Team: Maintaining the UNCERTAINTY
- Minimum tariffs is 10% which is at least 500% of the original tariffs.
- Have a clear strategy: One screaming very high and the other one, the nice guy, offers 10-25% tariffs
- All the deals won't be binding deals; so they might change at any time. So uncertainty is still there.
- It's all about PR and looking good and winning
- Market understands very well what is happening. Market sees the 10% tariffs as a huge barrier.
=) So all what Trump is doing, including the final/big deals, are bad for stocks and equities.
3- The FED:
- Last FED did not provide any hint about June rate cut. FED is data related.
- Last macro-economic data did not help the FED Rate cut. Hence, the upcoming data is very relevant.
- This week, we have key inflation data: CPI and PPI. Higher Inflation data means NO June Cut which is very bad for stocks and equities. Inline and lower inflation data will help FED Cut which is good for stocks and equities.
=) From now on, Good macro-economic data is bad for stocks and equities and vice-versa.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
- From weekly perspective, we got a bullish weekly candle than closed inside a bullish candle.
- Price seems exhausted and toppish. There is no need to go further up. But in any case, the chart shows two higher levels that price might reach in the case of bad economic data.
Daily TF:
- Friday candle was unable to close above the latest HH.
- Price always closed inside the consolidation area.
- Price will test the previous swing low (highlighted by a circle) in case Monday or US-China talks does not close above the latest HH.
=) From weekly and daily TF, NQ should go south.
Wish you a green week Everyone! GL!
(Note: I won't be around this week beside quick in and out; So I won't post most likely)
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.