US Nas 100
Long
Updated

NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Hints at Potential Reversal

187
Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, although the current market structure reflects bearish institutional order flow, there are growing signs that a potential reversal may be forming.

Key Observations:
1. Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence:
We are currently observing SMT divergence—a strategy where the underlying asset (NAS100) is compared against its benchmark (US500). These indices typically maintain a 90–100% correlation. However, when this correlation breaks down, it often signals that a reversal may be imminent. In this case, while NAS100 continues to show bearish momentum, the divergence from US500 suggests the possibility of bullish interest building.

2. Institutional Support at the Rejection Block:
Further confluence for a potential reversal lies in the presence of a rejection block acting as a strong institutional support level. This is a zone where smart money previously defended price, and if confirmed, it could provide an optimal entry for long positions.

Trading Plan:
We will monitor the rejection block for confirmation of bullish intent before entering any trades. If confirmed, the idea is to target the buy-side liquidity residing in premium pricing zones.

Invalidation Level: This reversal idea will be invalidated if NAS500 breaks below its most recent swing low.

Stay alert for confirmation, and always ensure the idea fits within your broader trading framework.

Kind regards,
The Architect
Trade active
Position Running
Risk=1R
Reward=3.62R

Refer:snapshot

Regards,
The_Architect
Trade closed: target reached
TP Hit
Reward=3.62R

Refer:snapshot

Regards,
The_Architect
Note
Price Action Update: Targets Reached

Price has successfully reached the targeted liquidity pools, thereby validating the prior analysis. The SMT divergence held firm, leading to a bullish reaction despite the prevailing bearish market structure. This confirms the effectiveness of divergence as a key signal for potential reversals.

Refer:snapshot

Have a great evening,
The_Architect

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