NC/USDT - Long Signal

85
LIMIT ORDER - NNC/USDT
Direction: #Long 🟢
Entry Price: 0.03783
Stop Loss: 0.034062

Target 1: 0.040805
Target 2: 0.043780
Target 3: 0.046755
Target 4: 0.049729
Target 5: 0.052704

Technical Rationale for NC/USDT Long Position

1. Structural Breakout & Fibonacci Alignment:

Entry (0.03783): Positioned at a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from a recent swing low to high, a classic reversal zone where buyers historically step in. This coincides with a breakout retest of a descending wedge pattern (compression phase), now flipping resistance-turned-support.

Stop Loss (0.034062): Placed below the 78.6% Fibonacci level and the swing low of the wedge’s lower boundary, invalidating the bullish structure if breached. This level also avoids intraday volatility traps.

2. Momentum & Volume Confirmation:

RSI (14-period): Bullish divergence observed on the daily chart, with price forming a lower low while RSI printed a higher low, signaling fading bearish momentum. RSI now holding above 45 and rising.

MACD (4H): Bullish crossover confirmed with histogram bars expanding into positive territory, indicating accelerating upward momentum.

Volume Surge: Breakout above the wedge pattern accompanied by a 30% spike in volume, confirming institutional accumulation and reducing risk of a false move.

3. Measured Move & Fibonacci Extensions:

The descending wedge’s height (~0.0067) projects a measured move target of 0.0497 (entry + pattern height), aligning with Target 4 (0.049729).

Fibonacci extensions (127.2%, 161.8%, 261.8%) from the prior swing low-high-pullback correlate with Targets 1–5 (0.0408–0.0527), providing logical profit-taking zones.

4. Liquidity & Order Flow Dynamics:

Entry zone aligns with a high-volume node on the Volume Profile, indicating strong institutional interest and reducing downside risk.

Targets 1–3 (0.0408–0.0467) sit just below prior swing highs, where trapped shorts may fuel upward squeezes. Target 5 (0.0527) aligns with a multi-month liquidity pool above psychological resistance at 0.0500.

5. Risk-Reward & Trade Management:

Risk: 7.3% drawdown (entry to stop loss).

Reward: Targets 1–5 offer a 1:1.5 to 1:4.1 risk-reward ratio, with partial profit-taking at each level to lock gains while letting runners capture extended momentum.

Invalidation Logic: A close below 0.034062 would break the wedge structure and likely trigger algorithmic stop hunts, justifying exit.

Conclusion: This setup leverages a high-probability breakout retest (wedge pattern + Fibonacci confluence), bullish momentum reversal (RSI/MACD), and strategic liquidity targeting. The tiered profit-taking structure balances capital preservation with upside capture, offering asymmetric risk-reward in favor of bulls. A disciplined entry here capitalizes on a confirmed trend shift.

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