1. Market Top - the Nasdaq 100 reached a market top in mid November 2021.
2. Distributive Consolidation - for a period of 7 weeks into early Jan 2022
3. Downtrend - with 3 LH and 3 LL which took place over most of 2022. The index entered a bear market in March 2022. A bull trap was executed in early August 2022 with the index momentarily moving out of bear market territory.
4. Market Bottom - it seems as though a market bottom was reached in early October 2022. The average bear market correction historically is 35%. This was effected as the market came close to making a Fibonacci .382 correction.
5. Accumulative Consolidation - over the next 10 weeks.
6. Reversal - the commencement of 2023 sees a market swing produce a higher low.
7. Uptrend - a new bull channel is forming , as price has made a new HH and HL.
So where are we now ? The psychological state where the majority are in the state of disbelief. The early phase of the next bull market, within the context of the existing secular bull market.
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