The market can withstand a lot of pressure.
It can handle:
What it cannot handle is:
I love the US stock market, and US animal spirits, it's the best in the world.
But when risk rises, then secure investments like bonds/treasuries become the smart money move. Stocks become "risk off"
Risk is rising, tariffs will pressure inflation, inflation kills economies and markets.
The European defense industry will benefit, the US consumer will pay higher prices.
Higher risk, could mean a lack of confidence, and confidence powers the stock market.
Batton Down the Hatches.
Trading Note: I sold all my US holdings on Tuesday, at the break of the double top neckline (see chart).
My target price is the 2021 high, before the one-year bear market. Its a big drop, I give it a 60-70% chance.
RSI & ROC Negative Medium-term divergences
Of course this could all change if Trump backtracks on trade wars, tariffs and imperialist rhetoric.
But until then, enjoy the ride.
It can handle:
- the dawn of "fake news" and outright "lying"
- the pollution and "enshitification" of social media
- imperialist ideas of a Gaza takeover
- partnering with a Russian totalitarian state
- overhyping of AI and Nvidia's overpricing
- populist politics
- unworldly valuations of tech stocks
What it cannot handle is:
- Upsetting the world order
- Undermining of NATO, Europe, and allies
- Starting trade wars with your best friends
- Establishing tariffs which will harm the US economy
I love the US stock market, and US animal spirits, it's the best in the world.
But when risk rises, then secure investments like bonds/treasuries become the smart money move. Stocks become "risk off"
Risk is rising, tariffs will pressure inflation, inflation kills economies and markets.
The European defense industry will benefit, the US consumer will pay higher prices.
Higher risk, could mean a lack of confidence, and confidence powers the stock market.
Batton Down the Hatches.
Trading Note: I sold all my US holdings on Tuesday, at the break of the double top neckline (see chart).
My target price is the 2021 high, before the one-year bear market. Its a big drop, I give it a 60-70% chance.
RSI & ROC Negative Medium-term divergences
Of course this could all change if Trump backtracks on trade wars, tariffs and imperialist rhetoric.
But until then, enjoy the ride.
Barry D. Moore CFTe Financial Technician
12 Proven Winning Chart Patterns
liberatedstocktrader.com/chart-patterns-reliable-profitable/
MOSES Beat The Market with TradingView:
liberatedstocktrader.com/moses
12 Proven Winning Chart Patterns
liberatedstocktrader.com/chart-patterns-reliable-profitable/
MOSES Beat The Market with TradingView:
liberatedstocktrader.com/moses
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Barry D. Moore CFTe Financial Technician
12 Proven Winning Chart Patterns
liberatedstocktrader.com/chart-patterns-reliable-profitable/
MOSES Beat The Market with TradingView:
liberatedstocktrader.com/moses
12 Proven Winning Chart Patterns
liberatedstocktrader.com/chart-patterns-reliable-profitable/
MOSES Beat The Market with TradingView:
liberatedstocktrader.com/moses
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.